Calling 4b shove with AKo vs 3b fold - have I calculated this correctly?
Posted by QueenOfCups
Posted by QueenOfCups posted in Mid Stakes
Calling 4b shove with AKo vs 3b fold - have I calculated this correctly?
Scenario - MP opens to 2.5bbs (57bb eff) - We 3b to 8bb - Co shoves range of JJ+ AKo,AKs 50%: TT (3.3%)
Equity needed for call = 42%
As AKo doesn't have equity for call I wanted to see if making the minus ev call is better than 3b fold
According to All in expert ev of calling shove with AKo is -1.96
And if we face the shove and fold (assuming 19% open range) 17% of time (3.3/19) we lose 8*0.17 = 1.36
So its losing less to call the 4b shove than to 3b fold? ( have I done the math correctly?)
However I think when you factor in ev of losing big pots has on the rest of session etc its better to give up 0.5bb and fold these spots, especially if tilt is an issue at all.
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