Bounty builder 109. How do I imply big bounties?
Posted by Tommi Heikinniemi
Posted by
Tommi Heikinniemi
posted in
Mid Stakes
Bounty builder 109. How do I imply big bounties?
Did a bad (but don't know how bad) play on late stage of sunday bb109 (16 left). Opponent has about 1k$ bounty on him. I know that my opponent was just fearless not looking at money jumps but still decided to go little bit wider and try to push him bit for the first time. I think he perfectly read my push as a small pair or Ax which he has decent equity against. I would say 90% of players would fold that particular hand in that spot but again, I'm mostly playing a way smaller tournaments especially on french sites that plays almost like opposite and even regs would mostly not dare to call there without "nuts".
How do I determinate approximately what's EV of my push? In this case it was little bit losing.
What would be winning push range for me? Just from nowhere I would say maybe 22+, KJo+, A2+, maybe JTs? Remember that there will be +500$ profit from him and next pay jump is only 200$.
hh:
Hand History for Game 1111111111 (Poker Stars)
Tourney Hand NL Texas Hold'em - Sunday, December 04, 08:11:07 ET 2016
Table 1738535725 135 (Real Money)
Seat 3 is the button
Seat 1: Player1 ( 1188410 ) - VPIP: 35, PFR: 20, 3B: 0, AF: 0,8, Hands: 40
Seat 2: Player2 ( 565441 ) - VPIP: 29, PFR: 15, 3B: 0, AF: 10,0, Hands: 66
Seat 3: Player3 ( 349108 ) - VPIP: 17, PFR: 13, 3B: 8, AF: 6,0, Hands: 130
Seat 5: Hero ( 504462 ) - VPIP: 19, PFR: 13, 3B: 6, AF: 2,5, Hands: 23958
Seat 6: Player6 ( 341192 ) - VPIP: 29, PFR: 16, 3B: 8, AF: 2,1, Hands: 163
Seat 7: Player7 ( 683514 ) - VPIP: 16, PFR: 4, 3B: 0, AF: 3,0, Hands: 25
Seat 8: Player8 ( 515594 ) - VPIP: 27, PFR: 15, 3B: 13, AF: 1,1, Hands: 48
Player1 posts ante of [3000].
Player2 posts ante of [3000].
Player3 posts ante of [3000].
Hero posts ante of [3000].
Player6 posts ante of [3000].
Player7 posts ante of [3000].
Player8 posts ante of [3000].
Hero posts small blind [10000].
Player6 posts big blind [20000].
* Dealing down cards *
Dealt to Hero [ 9h 8s ]
Player7 folds
Player8 folds
Player1 folds
Player2 folds
Player3 folds
Hero raises [491462]
Player6 calls [318192]
Hero wins 163270
* Dealing Flop * [ Td, 8h, Qd ]
* Dealing Turn * [ Ks ]
* Dealing River * [ 6c ]
Hero shows [9h, 8s ]
Player6 shows [Kh, 9c ]
Player6 wins 697384 from main pot
Loading 3 Comments...
Decent enough insights...I will work this over with my coach and send you a PM.
I would love to see a calculation on this.
You have massive FE here.
Our hand has around 37% equity when called
I give him a calling range of 22+,K9o+,K2s+
Meaning hes folding 72% of the time
Quick math:
EffectiveStack we risk = 341192-13k=328192
We have 37% when called.
Pot will be 697384 our EQ share is worth: 258032
So we lose 491462-258032=70160 every time we get called
With will happen 28% of the time = 0.28*70160 =19644
When we jam and get a fold we win 10k+20k+21k=51k which will hapen 72% of the time =36720
So 19.6-36.7=16.5k EV jamming this pre
So Jamming here is +EV however this does not mean its the most +EV option.
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