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BIG22 - SPR Threshold to raise vs call the flop

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

BIG22 - SPR Threshold to raise vs call the flop

Blinds: t25/t50 (9 Players) BN: 828
SB: 3,100
BB: 4,533
UTG: 4,808 (Hero)
UTG+1: 2,865
MP: 3,350
MP+1: 3,555
MP+2: 3,000
CO: 3,680
Preflop (75) Hero is UTG with K J
Hero raises to 100, UTG+1 folds, MP raises to 250, 6 folds, Hero calls 150
Flop (575) 7 9 T
Hero checks, MP bets 230, Hero calls 230
Turn (1,035) 7 9 T 8
Hero checks, MP checks
River (1,035) 7 9 T 8 8
Hero bets 550, MP calls 550

Villain: 17/8 over 48 hands.

Pre: Decent equity vs Nuttish range, even pre-ante.

Flop:
His cbet seems weak -

I feel by raising and barreling on any non A,K,Q turn will allow us to take the hand down.
Calling also seems like a valid option, although blocking KK, I doubt he will triple all his overpairs here, allowing us to bet big on the river whenever turn gets checked through.

What would be the preferred option, and at what SPR threshold our only option should be to jam over his continuation bet?
At what point do the merits to make him herofold AA/KK /QQ and deny him equity with AK outweigh our equity to draw to our double-gutter

Turn
Thoughts? Any value in donking the flop, under the assumption he will fold all his AK's and call atleast one street with QQ-AA

River
Provided flop and turn play i decided to bet slightly>50%.
Either way not sure if this was the line to extract the most value

Thanks in advance!

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