big $55 FT spot UTG is HERO

Posted by

Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

big $55 FT spot UTG is HERO

CO: 614463
BN: 893404
SB: 784163
BB: 1289206
UTG: 1144073
UTG1: 577495
LJ: 1404434
HJ: 780762
Co villain was aggro russian, 35/29/19% 3 bet, 100 hands, hero feels villain with price given and hand he can flop well against villains range, thoughts? HERO is Qj of clubs
Preflop (37500) (8 Players)
UTG raises to 50000, UTG1 folds, LJ folds, HJ folds, CO raises to 110000, BN folds, SB folds, BB folds, UTG calls 60000
Flop (257500) 4 7 T (2 Players)
UTG checks, CO bets 50000, UTG calls 50000
hero calls getting such a good price with two overs (may not be clean?) and flush draw. thoughts? i think ripping might be good to this tiny bet.
Turn (357500) 4 7 T T (2 Players)
UTG checks, CO checks
strange line from aggro russian here, thoughts on his check back?
River (357500) 4 7 T T 5 (2 Players)
UTG bets 980948, and is all in, CO calls 451338, and is all in
hero rams river, i have had some discussion over this and feel b/f would be better here? thoughts?
Final Pot
UTG has Q J CO has 7 7 CO wins 1285176

5 Comments

Loading 5 Comments...

CairyHunts 11 years ago

We're not repping much OTR, and i think betting 155k is going to get the same amount of folds really. I like russian's checkback OTT, it allows you to do stupid things or vbet Tx/JJ on the river while he pretty much has the board locked up. SPR is pretty low, so he basically needs just one street.


John Shamwoww 11 years ago

What Cairy said, pretty much for how it played out post flop. River jam makes zero sense. 

Most interesting is flop. We can already assume a lot from his bet and that is his one pair hands are all out of the window except AA/KK which he can bet like this to induce some silly play from KQ or something. 

Leaves his range to be AK/AQ blocker betting, air and monsters. With your stack and what are some pretty big ICM issues for villain i think you can attack this sizing. I'd love to see if someone can do the mathematical algorithms below to explain how often a raise works here but i'd imagine vs someone clearly not very good we can raise here and be profitable.

Given his relatively polarised nature i don't think you need to raise much to get AK and AQ to fold because you can raise small to like 112k-125k and he either floats one bet and folds to turn jam or folds there and then. Likewise his air which folds flop. 

If he does jam over our flop raise then it's fine given we would have to call it off getting the right price against what i would say is KK+, TT, 77 and AKcc with ~32% equity.

dablancninja 11 years ago

"Given his relatively polarised nature i don't think you need to raise much to get AK and AQ to fold because you can raise small to like 112k-125k and he either floats one bet and folds to turn jam or folds there and then. Likewise his air which folds flop."

I don't think he calls a raise on flop and folds to turn card here imo 

dablancninja 11 years ago

Preflop is actually and interesting spot in itself. 24 deep effective it's a bit shallow to call OOP don't you think? With that said I don't think it's that bad although caps your range hence why jam on river isn't good by you, as others say, makes no sense. 

Yes, I think flop raise, get in with two overs, FD and running straight draw. Just check stuffy baker it down the Russians throat for sending troops into Ukraine and he's in a very tough spot. But knowing aggro Russians he probably calls and same result anyway :)

Be the first to add a comment

Runitonce.com uses cookies to give you the best experience. Learn more about our Cookie Policy