Big 162$ ATC bubble spot.

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Big 162$ ATC bubble spot.

[b]PokerStars - $150+$12|350/700 Ante 85 NL - Holdem - 8 players[/b]
[i][url=http://www.pokertracker.com]Hand converted by PokerTracker 4[/url][/i]

MP+1: 27.95 BB (VPIP: 23.10, PFR: 16.93, 3Bet Preflop: 7.71, Hands: 1,065)
CO: 23.31 BB (VPIP: 25.25, PFR: 19.80, 3Bet Preflop: 8.05, Hands: 202)
BTN: 32.65 BB (VPIP: 17.39, PFR: 8.70, 3Bet Preflop: 10.00, Hands: 46)
[b]Hero (SB): 9.32 BB[/b]
[b]BB: 13.65 BB[/b] (VPIP: 5.00, PFR: 5.56, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 20)
UTG: 4.34 BB (VPIP: 23.08, PFR: 14.67, 3Bet Preflop: 10.34, Hands: 79)
UTG+1: 21.75 BB (VPIP: 32.50, PFR: 20.00, 3Bet Preflop: 15.38, Hands: 40)
MP: 13.49 BB (VPIP: 23.31, PFR: 16.15, 3Bet Preflop: 5.85, Hands: 400)

8 players post ante of 0.12 BB, [b]Hero[/b] posts SB 0.5 BB, [b]BB[/b] posts BB 1 BB

[b]Pre Flop:[/b] i[/i] [b]Hero[/b] has 2:club: 6:diamond:

[i]fold[/i], [i]fold[/i], [i]fold[/i], [i]fold[/i], [i]fold[/i], [i]fold[/i], [color=red][b]Hero[/b] raises to 9.2 BB and is all-in[/color], [b]BB[/b] calls 8.2 BB

[b]Flop:[/b] i[/i] 9:spade: J:spade: J:heart:

[b]Turn:[/b] i[/i] Q:heart:

[b]River:[/b] i[/i] 4:spade:

BB seems to be a random who is playing very tight. I am sure the ATC is profitable in chip EV, but I have been wondering for a while:

If we are near or on the bubble, how do you modify your shoving ranges in this kind of spot?

I can't seem to come up with some decent idea of how to quantify the bubble of an MTT. What I mean is: if this was a Sit and Go, you just input the payout structure, and play accordingly. In an MTT, we are still so far away from the FT that quantifying the bubble is not a trivial task.

I would like to hear from as many of you as possible how do you approach this situations and if you have a good approximation on how to analyze this spots with HRC or ICMizer.

Thanks.

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