Bad bluff OR bad call from Villain on River

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Bad bluff OR bad call from Villain on River

Blinds: t600/t1,200 (7 Players) UTG: 67,845
MP: 26,778
UTG+1: 15,149
CO: 24,405
BN: 75,823
SB: 110,167
BB: 33,770 (Hero)
Preflop (1,800) Hero is BB with 6 Q
4 folds, BN raises to 2,640, SB folds, Hero calls 1,440
Flop (6,930) 5 2 3
Hero checks, BN checks
Turn (6,930) 5 2 3 7
Hero bets 3,600, BN calls 3,600
River (14,130) 5 2 3 7 8
Hero bets 10,800, BN calls 10,800
Final Pot BN wins and shows high card Ace.
BB lost and shows high card Queen.
BN wins 35,730

quite deep in £16.50 freezeout on stars, i was playing 20/14, defending bb quite wide, villain playing fairly tight on btn not really getting out of line.

So based on how it played out i'm convinced he made a bad call on river what do you guys think? i think his range consists of lot of broadways A highs and I thought with that sizing i could get him to fold a hand like AT KQ JQ TQ TJ etc. the board nails my flatting range, I have 2 pair, straights some sets, yes he blocks flush with Qc but I don't see with his holding how he can call here...?? I hadn't shown any bluffs previously i was playing pretty solid post flop. from his point of view... what is he beating?? just pure air, what do you guys think?? I obv questioned him after and all he said was "I have Qc blocker"

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Pedro Madeira 5 years, 7 months ago

Theoretically speaking OTF as this is a board where BU will have a lot of checking, he should balance with FD's, overpairs, etc. If his checking range is not well balanced OTF it's likelly he will have to Hero call the river with these kind of hands (Acx, AXc).
And as far as your bluffing range goes, it should have tons of missed 6x and 4x besides missed spade draw, making his call probably near even.

Btw, this is BU flop strat and his river call strat considering a balanced snecario:

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