AQs UTG, final 6 of $27.50, facing min 3bet from MP and SB cc, 39BB behind
Posted by gradx
Posted by
gradx
posted in
Mid Stakes
AQs UTG, final 6 of $27.50, facing min 3bet from MP and SB cc, 39BB behind
SB: 270738
BB: 620871
UTG: 286366
HJ: 210637
CO: 523742
MP had a VPIP 41%, PFR 31%, 10% 3bet for the 4 most recent levels up to these blinds. We're now short-handed, may be opening his range but I can say that for the next few levels it remained around the same.
SB cold call was from a weak 22/11 with Call 3bet of 17%
We have 39BB behind facing a min 3bet in for a total of 4BB. I've already worked out that this is a +EV shove per se, but the fact that it's shoving 39BB to win 12 against a min 3bet of 4BB really limits his range to call. Giving a reasonable range of 99+/AQ+ puts us at 40% equity leaving nothing in his range better than a flip.
I'm currently in disagreement with people who think that 4bet to 10BB and folding a shove is terrible (leaving us at 28-30BB which isn't much different than 40) and they either prefer to 4bet shove or 4bet/call.
Any thoughts? Wasn't the reason NL tournies have moved towards these smaller raises is to be able to make these types of moves instead of gii pf?
Loading 6 Comments...
As you say yourself this could very well be a marginally +EV shove. However I agree with you that 4bet/folding isn't necessarily bad, though I still prefer 4bet shoving.
I don't like 4bet/calling though. I think I would go for a call right here and now to these odds re-evaluate flop. This isn't really an option given what you've written above. Good/bad?
I ran the ICM for this situation and giving 14% 3bet and 14% cold call, we need JJ+/AK+ as a profitable shove with a calling range of 99+/AQ+ for CO and JJ+/AK+ for SB. Like you, I don't like 4bet/call because villain shouldnt have any worse A in his range. Calling is certainly an option
Agree...clear call here imo - we are not gonna get called by worse if we shove
I dont like 4betting tho because we will not fold out a better hand
4 betting should at minimum should fold out hands like 88,99,AT/AJ and maybe even AQ that wouldn't play well vs our range unless they flop set/2pr
and it becomes a range play to not allow us the be exploited by wider 3 betsWould consider 4/f AQo, but given we're suited here. I'm always peeling
Great idea.
Be the first to add a comment