AK low stakes mtt, vs probably poor villain

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AK low stakes mtt, vs probably poor villain

LJ: 17298
HJ: 11630
CO: 9293
BN: 11012 (Hero)
SB: 8336
BB: 5997
UTG: 5150
UTG1: 24320
Preflop (600) (8 Players)
Hero was dealt A K
UTG folds, UTG1 raises to 800, LJ folds, HJ folds, CO folds, Hero raises to 1940, SB folds, BB folds, UTG1 calls 1140
Flop (4480) 7 9 T (2 Players)
UTG1 checks, Hero checks
Turn (4480) 7 9 T 2 (2 Players)
UTG1 bets 2800, Hero folds
Final Pot
UTG1 wins 4880

I don't know what to do turn, i thought about shoving since it's one of the best turn for me and i don't see him make this play with any pair and JJ+ have probably shoved preflop, the only hand i'm beat are JTs QTs JTs and probably not all of them, i eventually timed out and folded my hand against my purpose

villain don't have poor stats but his flat preflop made me guess he is pretty poor


5 Comments

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Anthony P 11 years, 4 months ago

From the HH, he's probably betting a low PP 33 or something. On the flop, he bets all overpairs, FDs, and straight draws, so we can exclude 88. How many 10s do you think he has in his range, considering the preflop action?

The turn stab with nothing can also be indicative of AK, AQs, etc.

Sam Grafton 11 years, 4 months ago

Don't shove. We rarely fold out better and have the best hand a decent % of the time. Just call and eveluate the river. HIs AJ, AQ, KQ hands will all stab on the turn.

Michael Donaghey 11 years, 4 months ago

Why do we not Cbet the flop? Thi is probably a terrible question but hey, we have to start somewhere.

Tom M 11 years, 4 months ago
It's nearly impossible for villain to have two cards that didn't somehow connect with this flop - even as thin as flopping a gutter and overs with like AJ.

AQ bricked it and I'm not sure how often he calls a 3 bet with hands that are underpairs to the board. In a low stakes MTT? Definitely possible. But that's still a pretty narrow range to hope to fold out with one bet.

So if we cbet and get called we really have no idea where we are at except to say we can feel pretty sure we're behind in the hand.

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