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A5's on bttn. Call or Fold here ? vs BB 11bb shove

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

A5's on bttn. Call or Fold here ? vs BB 11bb shove

Blinds: t350/t700 (9 Players) BN: 16,832 (Hero)
SB: 10,708
BB: 7,671
UTG: 8,824
UTG+1: 26,830
MP: 11,460
MP+1: 11,487
MP+2: 34,708
CO: 8,993
Preflop (1,050) Hero is BN with 5 A
6 folds, Hero raises to 1,400, SB folds, BB raises to 7,586 and is all in, Hero folds
Final Pot BB wins 3,915

MTT: $3,30

STATS:
Seat 3: Player3 ( 7671 ) - VPIP: 31, PFR: 14, 3B: 6, AF: 2.0, Hands: 98

Is folding here a mistake?
When i win the hand, i can apply more pressure with a larger stack.
When i lose, i still have a good shove stack.

My image is solid, no big spews and i expect villain not to jamm super light here.

3 Comments

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Prangman 2 10 years, 1 month ago

you have to call 10bb to win a pot of ~23.5, so you need around 42.5%.
looking at a 10bb push/fold, btn should be shoving around
22+,Ax+,K2s+,K8o+,Q6s+,Q9o+,J7s+,J9o+,T7s+,T9o,96s+,86s+,75s+,65s
and A5s has around 54% against this range.

but what is more important are the relative stack sizes - is everyone short... what are the money jumps/ people left, how much have people been folding to shortstack shoves... etc

it's probably slightly chip+ ev to call, but probably better to wait for a better spot

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