99 on BTN vs 12bbs UTG (passive) shove & 18bbs MP(tight) reshove
Posted by heisenb3erg
Posted by heisenb3erg posted in Low Stakes
99 on BTN vs 12bbs UTG (passive) shove & 18bbs MP(tight) reshove
Hi;
i have doubts about ranges when considering calling with 99´s in that spot..
https://i.gyazo.com/ba61f9e87cae50fffb7314256d897981.png
I calculated on ICMIZER, and:
NASH Calculation:
https://i.gyazo.com/d55f1292f56839fa20c4cac0422cb9fa.png
We have 0,33 +EV, but (the range of MP i believe is good, but also can be more tight);
If the vilan on UTG dont have hands like T9s, J9s, type hands with the often freq, the result increase value and we must call in my opinion,
But if the vilan dont shove poket pairs like 22-44, we lost alot EV with our hand:
VS the follow range (is teh range i expect he shoves in order him stats):
https://i.gyazo.com/0953efeeb4cecde4486eb716e2b4502f.png
And we lose a lot:
https://i.gyazo.com/0d66ad4abb77c05ba48cc27db8c141e5.png
SO, wath range you believe are near to real? We have a clear fold? How you analise the ranges?
Thx a lot
GL all
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