$600 MTT Live- Flush draw near the bubble
Posted by ralphykid67
Posted by ralphykid67 posted in Mid Stakes
$600 MTT Live- Flush draw near the bubble
260 runners, here we have 40 left with 32 paying and advancing to combine with other flights. I've been short all day grinding haven't had more than 30bbs since early in the day. I start the hand with 51k here at BB 3k (17 bbs) and am shortest at the table. Very good table with more bad players than good. I'm lowest stack at table, biggest is almost 200k.
Hero in BB with 93ss
Villain limps- Tight/passive older guy over 60 yrs old limps in EP. He has the big stack.
Fish limps off 60k stack
Good player on button limps with about 150k
Fish in sb completes with 100k
Pot 19,500
I check and flop is KQJssh
Hero check
Villain (original limper old guy) bets 12,500
Folds back to me.
Hero? (48k stack now after posting)
This is an ugly spot IMO. Do we just flat and see a turn and leave ourselves 12bbs? Blinds are going up in 10 mins so I don't love this option personally. We also could be drawing dead or very thin. Do we just fold? Seems nitty but I'll still have 16bbs and he bet very large and again my draw is good but not great. We're approaching the bubble and 16bbs is significant. Check-raise shove all in? This gives me a good price to more than double up if he happens to have a 1 or 2 pair hand. Against a hand like KQ, KJ, QJ I have 13 outs with the gut shot being live. He's tight passive and obviously has a hand here though so I have very low fold equity. But, If I hit I will have about 40bbs and be in great shape to punish this weak table on the bubble.
Villain player profile is common in live tourneys. These passive players limping range is a hand they're afraid to raise with/don't know how to play. Something like 22-99, AJ- A10, A9 ,Ax suited, KQ-K10, QJ-Q9. These guys will limp and then just fold to 3-bets all day.
Thanks for the feedback!
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