55$ shove over flop raise spot
Posted by All day 0 days off
Posted by All day 0 days off posted in Mid Stakes
55$ shove over flop raise spot
55$ Bovada MTT. Not alot of reads on villian as Ive been at the table for 10 hands. Hero is 6900 with A9o. In MP3. Blinds 125-250 ante 25. I raise to 500.
CO (8900) flats; BTN (7400) Flats;; BB (15k) flats
Flop is As-6c-7s- Hero bets 1.1k in2 2.2k pot
CO folds, BTN raises to 2.4k, BB folds, Hero?
If we assign 2 flush draws, 5 straight draw raises of 8-9 (might be a tad high?) , 4 units of 77 and 66 each, 4 units of AJo,
4 units each of A-7ss and A6ss, we have a profitable shove here. The tough spot in deducting is if villians draws are lowered just a bit, this is more of a fold.
Flush draws should make up 4/20 playable combos for a specified raising range, and there's 1-2 89ss flats on the button. 5-7 combos we're ahead of. 13 that we're behind. I dont see villian making any pure bluffs here, altough obv a ez shove if the case.
I think its a shove in game but close and could go either way if Im doing the math right.
We need 33% equity when called all in to shove over the flop raise?
Thoughts?
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