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55$ shove over flop raise spot

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

55$ shove over flop raise spot

55$ Bovada MTT. Not alot of reads on villian as Ive been at the table for 10 hands. Hero is 6900 with A9o. In MP3. Blinds 125-250 ante 25. I raise to 500.

CO (8900) flats; BTN (7400) Flats;; BB (15k) flats
Flop is As-6c-7s- Hero bets 1.1k in2 2.2k pot

CO folds, BTN raises to 2.4k, BB folds, Hero?

If we assign 2 flush draws, 5 straight draw raises of 8-9 (might be a tad high?) , 4 units of 77 and 66 each, 4 units of AJo,

4 units each of A-7ss and A6ss, we have a profitable shove here. The tough spot in deducting is if villians draws are lowered just a bit, this is more of a fold.

Flush draws should make up 4/20 playable combos for a specified raising range, and there's 1-2 89ss flats on the button. 5-7 combos we're ahead of. 13 that we're behind. I dont see villian making any pure bluffs here, altough obv a ez shove if the case.

I think its a shove in game but close and could go either way if Im doing the math right.

We need 33% equity when called all in to shove over the flop raise?

Thoughts?

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