$530 WCOOP Exploitative river sizing choice
Posted by Rapha Nogueira
Posted by Rapha Nogueira posted in High Stakes
$530 WCOOP Exploitative river sizing choice
UTG+1: 19,526
MP+1: 69,827
MP+2: 45,059
CO: 68,833
BN: 47,850
SB: 41,947
BB: 35,757 (Hero)
UTG: 44,980
For simplicity given that on sundays likely there is 10+ tables running I probably play two different strategies OTT. One that is a large bet sizing with 8x+ balanced with high equity bluffs and one that is prob A6+ with lower equity bluffs that contain good card removal effects against their calling ranges.
My first thought OTR is that I am not bluffing turn quite often since the pot is 5-ways and the fold equity seems to be low to quite low so I should pick a small to medium sizing strategy. That is true for most general strategies but the pot is already too large, 13bb is 30% of my stack and I should go for it more often than not since the board is dynamic but it doesn't hit very well players ranges.
I can have all the nut combos and high equity bluffs when they mostly can't specially considering flop the texture in which I expect any overpair+ to fast play the board often as 80-85%+ of the time so I am rarely beat by the river. At the time I didn't consider my hand as strong as this and I want my river value bet region to go from 99+ so picking all in sizing shouldn't perform as well as a smaller sizing when MP+2 range is very weak by the river. Even though this is a $530 it plays more like a $55 (specially on early stages) given the amount of recreationals playing, so almost every regular wouldn't be thrilled to bluff catch against all in size on this texture when I can have a very large portion of offsuit 8x.
Thanks in advance.
Loading 13 Comments...
Be the first to add a comment
You must upgrade your account to leave a comment.
This thread has been locked. No further comments can be added.