Hello,

This is a 450€ MTT in Spain, with 45k€ "donated" by the casino (accumulated from mtts played throughout the year with a small rake).

its Day 1A (140 entries) (there are two Day 1's) levels are 45mins and its last 10mins on level 500/1k/100 , last level is 600/1200/100, then its Day 2.
I have 33k, average is 67k.

One girl just arrives, around age 27 and seems reg/weak and opens to 2.5k MP with around 70k stack.
The CO-1 makes it 7k (he has 47k)

One note about him : its a friend within the casino, a few levels earlier i saw him squeeze on CO x4.2 with A7s with the caller being a clear whale and opener tight from EP. I already knew he likes to 3b/squeeze a lot ip : saw him squeeze in cash games vs 3 IP with QJo.

Iam CO with AJo and decide to jam AJo, there is 13.4k in the middle.

I calculated the girl opens 24% and folds 85%, when she calls my ev is -10.5k (15% of the time)

I calculated the reg, once the girl folds, 3bets 8.1% polar (which is the bare minimum i think) , his range here :

http://prntscr.com/dsb5l8

He calls all is value from his 3betting range, TT+AK (AQ and 99 doesnt 3bet)

So when the girl folds, the ev vs the reg is +3.14k (85% of the time)

So my ev total is +1.1k or +1.1b with a 33bb stack.
And if being a little less pesimist (like his sizing 7k seemed more with a hand that wanted to go AI PF or bluff like AK and JJ/QQ, usually KK+ 3bet smaller) + uping his 3betting range to 10/11% my ev can bump to 2.5bb

My other reason to shove is that next level was really close (last from day1).
I was most likely going to be 0.2-0.4x average for day 2 which is really short.
We were miles away from ITM and i could re entry the next day (i overrolled for the mtt, and dont care for the money)
The structure is missing levels sometimes and a bit fast.

Thanks in advance,