33 fo ft 4bet shove spot + joke ICM as well

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

33 fo ft 4bet shove spot + joke ICM as well

Any1 like a 4bet here? prolly getting icm'd and shoulda pulled the trigger in game but I nitted it up:

Also Im just starting to use this formula a bit more, and Ive found it helpful.

Merge Game #70491170-245 (Tournament) | Holdem NL | 06/25/2013 23:40:32
EST | Version:2


Table $4K Gtd, 70326358, Seats 9 (Tournament: $4K Gtd, 70326358) 

 
Seat 1: TheMaskedPhantom ($62,013.00 in chips)



Seat 2: spider1015 ($22,493.00 in chips) 

 
Seat 4: Jerrrrrrrrome ($63,971.00 in chips)



Seat 5: ontiltcwp394 ($165,707.00 in chips) 

 
Seat 6: Zapstar3311 ($165,114.00 in chips)

 DEALER

Seat 7: SwiperNoSwiping22 ($117,879.00 in chips) 

 
Seat 9: 0wn4ft3r0wn ($44,823.00 in chips)

 SwiperNoSwiping22: Post SB $1,500.00 

 
0wn4ft3r0wn: Post BB $3,000.00

*** HOLE CARDS ***



Dealt to Jerrrrrrrrome [Ah Js] 

 
TheMaskedPhantom: Fold 

 
spider1015: Fold 

 
Jerrrrrrrrome: Raise $6,000.00 

 
ontiltcwp394: Raise $12,345.00



Zapstar3311: Fold

SwiperNoSwiping22: Fold

0wn4ft3r0wn: Fold 

 
Jerrrrrrrrome:???

cost of shove – ( equity when called * final pot when called) = # / pot
b4 4 bet + cost


Assuming villian who is running at an aggro 23/19/12 over 293 hands is 3bet calling 88 + Aqo+ AQss+ giving us an all in equity when called of 31%:

Cost of shove: 57,000 – (.31 * 134542) = 15291.98 / 24945 + 57000 =
18.6 % or about 1 3bet fold per five 3bet from villian for the 4bet shove to break even..

Does that seem logical facing an aggressive villian?


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