$22 FT vs turn raise
Posted by thephyzician
Posted by
thephyzician
posted in
Mid Stakes
$22 FT vs turn raise
BB: 44955
UTG: 38580
UTG1: 7833
UTG2: 28839 (Hero)
LJ: 30219
HJ: 75340
CO: 19829
BN: 50776
SB: 51629
UTG: 38580
UTG1: 7833
UTG2: 28839 (Hero)
LJ: 30219
HJ: 75340
CO: 19829
BN: 50776
SB: 51629
Villain is 42/10/8 over 60 hands but ive seen him make a lot of moves post flop without showing down. His fold to CB is 40% and i have noted also that he stabs all flops when checked to in position whether he is the preflop aggresor or not.
Im happy with my line up until the turn i wasnt really sure what to do vs the raise. I generally give a LOT of credit to turn raises and this board has become kinda scary in my mind.
Im happy with my line up until the turn i wasnt really sure what to do vs the raise. I generally give a LOT of credit to turn raises and this board has become kinda scary in my mind.
Preflop
(1200)
(9 Players)
Hero was dealt
9
9
UTG folds, UTG1 folds, Hero raises to 1600, LJ folds, HJ folds, CO calls 1600, BN folds, SB folds, BB folds
UTG folds, UTG1 folds, Hero raises to 1600, LJ folds, HJ folds, CO calls 1600, BN folds, SB folds, BB folds
Flop
(4400)
7
2
5
(2 Players)
Hero bets 2336,
CO calls 2336
Turn
(9072)
7
2
5
8
(2 Players)
Hero bets 3153,
CO raises to 6306
Relatively small FT $700 or so up top and maybe $80 or so for 9th.
Thoughts?
Loading 2 Comments...
I like to bet, x/c this textures. It hits his perceived range much harder than yours if he is aware of that he will exploit your barreling very frequently. So, we maintain our equity in the pot and let him spend more money on bluffing or tptk. Also, the pot is big enough to put a weird SPR for him to stack off worse than 99s, which may happen like A8 but in his overall range this offsuit combo have low probability in my view against the 87/75/55/22/88/77/96.
I usually don't see guys 42/10 getting aggressive for no reason. You are kinda far from the top of your range, since you have 88-77 and TT+, which is a reason to x/c too and I think giving this price you can't fold OTT without being very exploited but by the SPR OTR you can't call and hope to show it down and also you can be drawing very thin or dead. It is pretty sick but I usually don't call this spots.
Largely agree w/ nogueira. Based on your sample of him sounds like he's probably a one and done sorta guy too, which is why I like your flop lead, x/c turn, x/f most all rivers unless you think he's capable of value better worse, which I honestly can't speak to as it's something I'd get a feel for in-game and by scrolling through past hands.
This board does hit his perceived range a lot harder than yours, but it also hits w/ a lot of 1p type hands or p+gutterball hands that may get cautious on turns you're leading and either fold or raise (since this is one of those spots fish seem to relize youre on overs or just 'betting AK...b/c they always have AK'). That said, w/ those hands they bet turn a large % of the time b/c theyre 'protecting' vs overcards....why I like the x/c turn, keeps his range wide and you should expect worse to bet...then whether worse is betting rivers I honestly don't know w/o being at the table
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