$150 live MTT - QQ: fold, shove pre or shove on the flop?
Posted by ubaldus
Posted by
ubaldus
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Mid Stakes
$150 live MTT - QQ: fold, shove pre or shove on the flop?
Playing live $150 MTT in Seminole Hard Rock, 60 left out of ~200, 27 paid and top 10 also get extra $360 seat in the SHR open.
Both hero (UTG) and villain (UTG+3) have ~27 bb, pretty close to the average stack size.
Hero has QQ utg, and opens for 2.5 bb.
Fold, fold, villain 3-bets 8 bb, fold, fold, fold, short stack in sb calls all-in for 7 bb, fold.
Now, the villain is a straightforward TAG-ish player, and he remarked before that I appear to play tight and show real hands. Him 3-betting me looks pretty strong. At this table, it's probably AA, KK, AK and maybe AQs. On the other hand, there is some extra money in the pot.
So, hero's options are:
(1) fold, and still have about 25 bb.
(2) 4-bet shove, he is pretty certain to call it. QQ has 39 to 42% equity against his range, if it is really that strong.
(3) call, and if the flop comes below queens, shove on the flop. QQ would have about 50% equity + extra money in the pot.
What would be the preferred play here?
Results: I shove, he calls with AKo and gets his A on the river (sb
had TT, flop was 998).
Loading 3 Comments...
I'm shoving almost every time here. I think you're being results oriented. If this were on or near the bubble you can maybe just call. Pot is too big here after the SB calls. Even without the SB we aren't deep enough to play this hand OOP. If SB folds we're going to see a flop OOP with like 18bbs out there and our stack being the same. Need to shove pre to negate this situation.
Should add that you can easily be called by worse here (AK, JJ, 1010, maybe even 99 or worse). I would definitely include a few weaker hands like 99-88 or AQ being that this only a $150 live tourney. That buy in level attracts the worst of the worst.
shove bro its 2016
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