€1100 UKIPT DAY 1A MAIN EVENT - ABSURD OVERBET SPOT
Posted by mickman
Posted by mickman posted in High Stakes
€1100 UKIPT DAY 1A MAIN EVENT - ABSURD OVERBET SPOT
BLINDS: 50/100
HJ: 27k
CO: 22k
BB: 17k
HERO CO: Jh Jd
READS: CO 30-35yr old Irish chap, playing a loose spewy style. Playing vey weak ranges and playing poorly postflop, opening and cold calling a lot of off-suit Ax, calling 3bets OOP 75s when ranges should be tight etc. I hadn't seen him get too out of line, nothing absolutely crazy like this.
I isoed him BvB one hand, checked back top pair on K9xdd and he potted two streets with a missed draw but that was the only time in 2 hours of play I had seen anything really aggressive from him.
BB: An older gentleman, around 50yrs old, playing what I would guess was around 75/10.
HJ: RAISES 250
CO: CALLS
BB: CALLS
FLOP: 983r
POT: 900
HJ: BETS 600
CO: CALLS
BB: RAISES 1200
POT: 3300
HJ: MOVES ALL IN 26k approx
The raise from the old dude here was a mis-click. He flicked an extra chip to make life easier on the dealer, which an earlier dealer requested we do but the dealers had changed, floor was called and it was declared a raise.
The old guy seems not best pleased about this and ending up folding out of turn.
I'm interested to hear what people think this guy's range is here.
I think pre-flop he is opening hands like 95s, 97o but I think I think it's very unlikely he just rips those in on the flop.
I do think we beat some of his value range but maybe we are like 40/60 overall.
When I asked him how much his jam was he seemed fairly relaxed.
I was also interested in the math behind the decision here, i'm guessing we have to be right a HUGE % of the time to call here. So if any of the good math guys would have a look it would be really appreciated.
Thanks in advance
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