$11 freezeout, choosing our river bluffing range on an interesting runout
Posted by Matthew Hunt
Posted by Matthew Hunt posted in Low Stakes
$11 freezeout, choosing our river bluffing range on an interesting runout
Blinds: t125/t250 (8 Players)
BB: 20,160
UTG: 11,570
UTG+1: 9,771
MP: 7,079
MP+1: 25,324
CO: 3,982
BN: 34,236 (Hero)
SB: 9,649
UTG: 11,570
UTG+1: 9,771
MP: 7,079
MP+1: 25,324
CO: 3,982
BN: 34,236 (Hero)
SB: 9,649
Villain is 13/8 over 25 hands. No real reads, not sure if he's a reg or anything but he seems pretty tight. Not querying what to do with my actual hand, more just looking at how to construct a river bluffing range.
Preflop
(375)
Hero is BN with
K
9
, , ,
Seems very straightforward so far. I put villain on a fairly pair-heavy range, I imagine they would 3-bet most Ax hands here that they're VPIPing with.
Flop
(1,684)
A
T
Q
, ,
Obviously if villain's range is pair-heavy then this is a flop they're not going to call very much. Once they do call I figure it's not a great spot for future aggression since their range is heavy on Ax/Qx and mine is wide.
Turn
(3,602)
A
T
Q
5
,
Pretty much giving up on the pot here. Villain has some flushes now (although not many), and will have some KQ etc that contains a spade and therefore will not fold here as often.
River
(3,602)
A
T
Q
5
Q
,
This is where the idea of bluffing starts to be interesting. Qs blocks a lot of villain's flushes (QsJs, KsQs), and since it's hard for them to have AxKs or KsJs (would have either 3-bet preflop or check-raised flop some %), they're a little bit capped at AxJs here in terms of flushes. They also can't have many FH combos either - AQ or QT would have check-raised the flop some %.
We can't really have many FH combos here ourselves since we would have bet turn with 2 pair or a set, so my question is, would we be value-raising the Ks on the river? If so, which hands are the best bluffs to balance? We have all combos of KsQx/KsKx/KsTx in our range, plus maybe even Ks5x, but I can't figure out how to choose a bluffing range. I guess we need blockers to his bet/call range on the river, so maybe something that blocks the combos of hands that have the Ks, but I can't even find many combos in his range that have the Ks. Perhaps a T blocker to block QT? I'm a little stumped. Maybe someone can help me out.
We can't really have many FH combos here ourselves since we would have bet turn with 2 pair or a set, so my question is, would we be value-raising the Ks on the river? If so, which hands are the best bluffs to balance? We have all combos of KsQx/KsKx/KsTx in our range, plus maybe even Ks5x, but I can't figure out how to choose a bluffing range. I guess we need blockers to his bet/call range on the river, so maybe something that blocks the combos of hands that have the Ks, but I can't even find many combos in his range that have the Ks. Perhaps a T blocker to block QT? I'm a little stumped. Maybe someone can help me out.
Final Pot
SB wins 3,602
Thanks guys!
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