$109 Post flop plan with big equity 100bb deep
Posted by Poncheezied
Posted by Poncheezied posted in High Stakes
$109 Post flop plan with big equity 100bb deep
UTG+1: 3,213
MP+1: 2,850
MP+2: 2,895
CO: 3,160 (Hero)
BN: 2,945
SB: 2,970
BB: 3,255
UTG: 2,660
So I think this call is probably considered a bit loose to be making it all the time but I think it might be okay to flick this is every once in a while with position when we expect to get to the flop multi way a lot. The table had been passive so far over a small number of hands. Is this just a fold 100% of the time or is my thinking okay?
So once both players check to me we have to bet with only 5 high but massive amount of equity + fold equity from the bet. Curious what size people would make it here though. 210 felt a bit large but I don't think there is much difference between this and say t180. My plan if one player calls is to barrel almost every turn card with a view to triple barrelling if we miss or hit, depending on the run out and action ofc. Might be more inclined to check back missed turns though if both guys call.
Once MP1 checks to us on the flop and only calls I think his range is fairly weak, if he has anything big on the flop he might lead out for fear that we check it back and he loses a load of value, I could be wrong in that assumption. Just think his range is going to be weak draws and mostly single pair hands that will fold to further aggression and the J is a pretty decent overcard to barrel and shouldn't hit too much of his flop c/c range, so this seems fairly straightforward. Does anybody just check and take a free card here and if so why do you think that is better than betting?
I think that decision point is the one I am most unclear about in the hand.
And at this point we get gay bet into and I have no idea what he has and even if I did I don't think I could do a lot :) Could possibly be a cheap bluff with a missed draw though now I look at it, at the time I felt like it was a blocker with something like T9s but really when looking at it, it doesn't make a whole lot of sense and really looks like a missed draw. So with that said does anyone shove river? He can't have many Jx and his sizing seems too small for trips.
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