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€100 Night on Stars

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Posted by posted in High Stakes

€100 Night on Stars

BN: 12063
SB: 7017
BB: 6958
UTG: 13421
UTG1: 9940
UTG2: 9510
LJ: 8947 (Hero)
HJ: 13554
CO: 8755
Villain - have over 400 hands playing 30/23
- RFI from EP is 27% from 78 samples
- F23B 41%, Flat 47%
- F2CB 70%

Edit - Ante is 10, pot 240 pre. Some reason antes didn't show
Preflop (150) (9 Players)
Hero was dealt 8 Q
UTG folds, UTG1 raises to 200, UTG2 folds, Hero raises to 504, HJ calls 504, CO folds, BN calls 504, SB folds, BB folds, UTG1 calls 304
So this is a spot where I like to attack wider early position opens. I know (well his HUD stats suggest it) he is opening wider than he should, peeling quite wide and playing very fit or fold postflop so I think this 3bet then cbet line will show a good profit.
Flop (2166) A 7 J (4 Players)
UTG1 checks, Hero bets 1195, HJ folds, BN folds, UTG1 calls 1195
I think cbet is strong here. Wouldn't make it without good equity.
Could maybe have made it smaller to set up better sized barrels.
I feel he will ch/raise his strong hands quite frequently.
Turn (4556) A 7 J 9 (2 Players)
UTG1 checks, Hero bets 2362, UTG1 calls 2362
Anyone take the free card?
I think barrel is mandatory seeing as we have turned more equity. I dont expect to be check raised too often considering I think most his strong hands raise the flop.

When I bet this turn I was planning on jamming most rivers that didn't improve his range.
River (9280) A 7 J 9 6 (2 Players)
UTG1 checks, Hero bets 4876, and is all in, UTG1 calls 4876
On the river he is getting 3:1 on a call so I need to be bluffing 25% or more for him to BE/ profit from his call.

I don't think I am considering my stronger cbetting range and therefore a stronger turn and river barreling range.

I can think of maybe 4x QTs, , Q8s, KQss, KTss, 78ss(may even ch back turn pair+FD/GS as can beat higher FDs) as my only real bluffs here.. I feel a lot of my lower equity hands I either a) don't cbet b) cbet but check back turn when I dont turn anything (KQs, or QTs+KTs when the 9 doesnt turn)

As I am 3betting wider in this spot I feel I would have so many more value combos than just AK, AA, JJ.
Final Pot
Hero has 8 Q UTG1 has Q A UTG1 wins 19122

Preflop isn't standard but considering info provided I think its a great spot?

What are people's thoughts on tripling here? 

Looking back I think i should have constructed my sizes better so that my river jam wasn't giving him 3:1

What about bet twice and only jam when we hit? Kind of exploitable but villain doesn't know that!

Anyway, all thoughts/criticisms appreciated




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