Episode 16 - Mixed 3bet Strategies

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Episode 16 - Mixed 3bet Strategies

Hi,

I have a question about the example at the end of the video where we are BB v Solid Reg on BU.

Peter says that we have Average or Unknown Fold Equity versus villain, but I would have assumed that due to him being on the BU and having a somewhat standard range, that Fold Equity is HIGH in this spot, and so we adopt the Polarized 3 betting range.

If BU opens 40-50% of hands from this position and faces a 3B then I think FE must be pretty high here, even versus a solid reg

In the video previous to this we looked at a situation where a tight player opened from the CO and we said FE was high here, so i think versus a tougher opponent but with a range much wider, we are looking at similar % of range that they fold to a 3B?

Would like feedback on where my assumption has gone wrong? Do we estimate what % of their total range continues, to determine whether FE is high or not?

Thanks

2 Comments

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Shifty 5 years, 10 months ago

I think the key is the assumption of a player type?

If we assume that he is a solid reg then he's correctly defending vs a 3-bet. If he opens 40-50% of hands then in theory he should defend 50% of this range so around 20-25% of that. Also he has a position over us which also decreases our fold equity. If he would be a ABC reg opening same range but overfolding to 3-bets then our FE would be pretty huge because he would continue like 1/5 of the range he opens instead of 1/2.

In the example you've mentioned where tight CO opens - we have following:
1. Tight player - he will open tighter than general thus his range will have more concentration of strong hands BUT as he is tight then he will propably overfold to a 3-bets more than strong balanced player.
2. He will be OOP in a 3-bet pot which increases our FE.

I hope that all makes sense and please correct me if I'm wrong.

kravean 5 years, 10 months ago

Yes, now I have worked through a few more videos I can see that we should be defending around 50% of range in all positions to 3bets, so sometimes that is 50% of a wide range (BU) and sometimes it is 50% of an already tighter range (other earlier positions).

So yes i think in the examples given it is player type we are focusing on and also we can refer to in game stat fold v 3 bet to help us decide as well as overall player type whether we can adopt a polarized or linear 3 bet strategy, and look at players left to act to see whether we can indeed have +EV calls.

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