WSOP FINAL TABLE JJ 3b/Fold
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WSOP FINAL TABLE JJ 3b/Fold
4 handed, Beckley 3b fold sb v btn versus Mckeehen with JJ versus QQ. What do you guys think of this? Should he 3bet if hes gunna fold to 4bet? Or expliotatively is it ok to 3b/fold it? I dont remember exact stacks but beckley was in 2nd place in chips by small margin
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When you are 3 handed at a final table, 2nd and 3rd have a small stack and the chipleader has a big stack, you need very high equity to prefer a preflop all-in over seeing a flop cheaply (or folding). Because of this, you can only get it in with the strongest hands, JJ might very well be too weak for this. When you reraise a range with KK+ for value, you need a high bluffing frequency to induce your opponent to reraise you or to put you all-in.
If you want to include weaker value hands like JJ into that range, they need to call and do some bluffcatching postflop. When playing postflop, the chipleader should have a higher bluffing frequency than in a cash game since the player with the 2nd stack does not want to call of his stack.
As played, Beckley probably figured out (directly or indirectly) that his 3-bet bluffing frequency was too low so that JJ became closer to the bottom of his range and that it made the chipleaders range too strong.
So let me know if this is a correct understanding of what you said:
Your saying Beckley is not 3b bluffing enough, such that JJ is the bottom of his strong 3b range, so its a fold because he isnt getting explioted by a 4bet if he is just folding the bottom of his range?
My follow up to that (if im correct in my understanding):
Unless Joe flats a lot (which is debatable given he folded to a 3b CO v SB with KTs), doesn't this make a good case for Beckley just flatting with JJ and creating a polar 3b range with KK+ and bluffs? It feels like a "waste of JJ" to use it as a 3b/fold if Joe doesn't flat a lot
If he is getting folds from KTs, when his opponent is opening very wide, he should be 3-bet bluffing a ton.
There are disadvantages to flatting when you're OOP and your opponent can put you for a decision for all your chips, but you can't do the same to him. Depending on stacks, just 3-betting or folding might be a viable play (JJ has good blockers and high equity when call), or outright shoving might be a viable play.
Flatting > 3b with ICM consideration, especially since it`s top 4 in the main event final table with huge pay jumps and BB is far from likely to squeeze much.
3b/gii JJ with those stack sizes would be an ICM suicide, and he`s playing vs chip leader who can put pressure on him preflop by 4betting wider, playing a merged 3b/f strat from the SB seems vbad.
Haven`t really watched much so not sure how Mckeehen played.
Hand started at 15:40 at next link:
JJ vs QQ
So, chip stacks were:
McKEEHEN 92 475 000
BECKLEY 42 150 000
BLUMENFIELD 31 575 000
STEINBERG 23 450 000
Blinds were 400K 800K w/ antes 100K. McKeehen raised to 1,6M and Beckley 3-bet to 4M, McKeehen 4-bet to 10,2M, Beckley folded.
Payouts table is here (with names and their final positions after the winner was revealed):
4-handed with a 9 : 4 : 3 : 2 stack ratio, the chipleader can put a tremendous amount of ICM pressure on the second biggest stack. Much larger than with a 3-handed 9 : 3 : 3 ratio because the second biggest stack is worth so much more with two smaller stacks.
He needs 63% equity to prefer a preflop all-in over a fold, whereas if the smallest stacks gets removed (thus 3-handed), he needs only 58% equity. That is almost double the ICM pressure; he should protect his range in a very strong way against 4-bets if he wants to 3-bet there.
?
There are multiple attacks possible against a 3-bet: shoving, 4-betting small, flatting and raising flops, flatting and floating, etc etc. A lot of these attacks are very strong because of the ICM pressure. He needs to protect against all these attacks, thus his range needs to be very strong.
Think the pressure of the event make most players deviate from their optimal game. 3b folding JJ looks like an information raise, or the will to win the hand right away as opposed to maximize EV. Guess the main event ft can mess with ur guts.
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