Statistical Anomaly?
Posted by arizonabay
Posted by arizonabay posted in Gen. Poker
Statistical Anomaly?
Hey guys, I have switched sites and am playing all anonymous. I have got around 28k hands in so far. I felt like I was running into AA way more than I should - so I looked into my db. I have been all in pre-flop at 75bb's effective 25 times and villain has had AA - 12 times, KK - 3, QQ - 3, JJ - 0, TT - 1, AKs - 2, AKo - 0, AQo - 2, and other - 2.
I have been all in w/ KK 11 times and villain has had AA 6 times.
This seems insane to me. Is it too soon to make a big exploitative adjustment? It seems they open and 3b all kinds of stuff, but if it is 4b or 5b its QQ+ and a large portion AA. Should I just be calling 3 and 4b's w/ QQ-KK? My question is : Is my sample size too small to read much into this? Is it possible that it is just a fluke and run bad? I mean I ran KK into AA 3 times today. Villains call 3b's very wide also - but they just don't seem to be getting it in wide at all - not even blind vs blind. How many hands would I need to feel confident in making crazy adjustments to my get it in range?
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