Hi everybody. I have a big doubt on the
“equity realization” issue.

We start from an example: btn miniraise
50% of hands, and we are in the BB with K3off. We have 43% equity,
and we have to put 1 to win 4.5, so 22% pot odds. I think (but i'm
not sure) that, to make a break even call, we need to realize
22/43=51% of our equity, or rather to win 51 hands on 100.

However, the problem is that this is
correct only if we suppose that the lost money when we loose the
49hands are equal to the won money when we win the 51hands. And i
don't think that this hypothesis is realistic.

The question is: how can i quantify the
difference between the size of the avg pot of the winning hands and
the loosing ones?

Putting in another way: i open holdem
manager, and i see that overall, when i call a BTN miniraise on the
BB with K3 off, i have, for example, -70bb/100. This is “good”
because it's better than the -100bb/100 that i could have if i fold
my K3 preflop. But how much is good?

How can i quantify the way with i
recover this 30bb 100? It's possible that on 100 hands, 90 times i
c/f on flop loosing a small pot, realizing a very little part of my
equity, but the other 10 times i win a very much bigger pot, and so
overall i have a profit. Or it could be that i realize a lot of my
equity and the avg winning and loosing pot are similar.

Is there any way (a formula for
example) that allows me to correlate these values?

I think the solution is in the ev
formula = (equity x pot we win) – (opponent's equity x pot we
loose)

but i don't know how to find/convert
the values of hm.

On the hm, i can put the filters won
hand true/false end see the winrate/loose rate, but this factors
included the BB that i post preflop and so i'm not sure to interpret
them correctly.

I mean, return to the K3 example, i can
see on hm that on 100 hands i win 34 for +500 bb/100 and i loose 66
for -450 bb/100, for an overall profit of X bb/100

Now, the X bb/100 are the total ev of
the formula (but i don't know how to convert it), the 34 and the 66
are the equity and the oppo's equity (realization and not realization
of the equity to be precise) and the +500 and -450 are the avg win
and loose pot (but again, i don't know how to convert them)

i'm really sorry for my english and i
hope i have explained my question clearly enough.

My aim is simple. I would like to
compare different hands in the same spot and understand how much the
realization of the equity changes and how big are the pots that i
loose/win. For example i could learn that in a
specific spot with 2 different hands with a similar equity i realize
the same amount of equity too, but with one hand the winning pot are
much more bigger than the lost ones. In other words it's like to
quantify the reverse pot odds.