I wondered if the monty hall problem (MHP) is relevant to poker. they're both about odds being in your favour and if they change or stay the same after revealing certain information. before i give an example in poker terms if you don't know what the monty hall problem is youtube it, supposedly its 66% to 33% if you switch, however i've heard people argue its 50/50. i personally can see both being true, I really could argue both...maybe its to do with entanglement or something if you know about quantum physics...anyway so say i have 10h 2h and opponent has Jh Kh suited...we all have hearts!!! now i have about 30% equity to his 70%. so now if i hit a 2 on the flop i now have 76%...but to the person who believes the MHP solution is to switch would that not translate into the opponent still has 70% chance on the flop because when the flop can be seen the dealer just "revealed a goat" (the goat being either relevant or not depending on if one is a "switchman" or a "50/50man")? so does the switchman believe if he had 70% chance to win preflop he still has 70% on the flop as Jh Kh both can hit turn and river. 3 of the cards which had been used to calculate the 70% have been revealed, lessening the chance of a J or K hitting within the 5 but still have 23% to hit.  if I could just get 1 sentence to be congruent with the next I'd be satisfied but not sure if I've even done that. i'm also wondering about is how 70% isn't 100% its going to let something with 30% chance win even though it has 70% of the 100% available lol. its like a coin flip is 50/50 so why is it inclined to land either way in the first place? is this that damn quantum entanglement again? or are these ramblings of a mad man, because i have had no sleep thats my excuse anyway...!