How many BB under EV in one day?

Posted by

Posted by posted in Beats & Brags

How many BB under EV in one day?

Just wondering how bad people hve run at the tables in one day?

Today I played NL400 Rush and managed to lose $4k. My all in EV was at -$60. Funny thing I'm not even tilted or upset. More amazed at how crazy bad I ran. Haha

20 Comments

Loading 20 Comments...

Tom M 11 years, 8 months ago

No stop loss needed if you're still within your BR requirements you've set for yourself. 

That said, almost no one admits to becoming mentally wounded. 

R0b5ter 11 years, 8 months ago

Well I usually stopp loss when I'm down a lot in EV terms since that usually means I'm not playing my best. Yesterday I wasn't down much in EV terms and still felt I was playing well. With that said I should probably have quit earlier since it might not have been entirely true. 

Aleksandra ZenFish 11 years, 8 months ago

IDk i didnt play nl recently, i stop at 10 BI most for plo , but 10 seems lot for nl, so  i was thinking if u hit 6=8 shoulda stop for review at very least being it in BR good management regardless :)

whysoeasy 11 years, 8 months ago

To be down in EV did not mean you're playing bad. Imagine you start a session were you win KK>AA PF, you go for a standard GII flop with overpair vs set and you hit higher set and you finish with a standard flip AK>QQ PF. Did it means you are playing bad because your green line touch the sky and your EV-line decide to see what's happen in the opposite way ? Clearly no. You can your A game ++ and finish the session down a lot in EV like you can play your C game and finish the day a lot above EV.

We just have to focus and stay objective about how we are playing. People should give less credit to the ev-line.

R0b5ter 11 years, 8 months ago

Can also add that I don't usually look at my bottom line in play. Only focus on EV and a few other stats. So yesterday I didn't even know How much I was actually down until 5min before the end (although I obviously knew it was a lot and I was running horribly).  But anyway didn't mean to discuss wanted to hear if someone had ever run this bad in EV terms?

jonna102 11 years, 8 months ago

I had a session (PLO) recently where I was down something like 25 BI.  It was the most bizarre experience.  I kept getting good starting hands, also connecting reasonably with flops, but no matter what I did I just couldn't finish with a winning hand.  I'd be value betting my top two pair on a dry board, opponents would calls with rags and spike a random set on the river.  Or hit backdoor flushes.  If I got it in with top set, the draw always came in.  And when I had the draw, the set always held.  Bluffing was equally pointless, I would face the most bizarre calldowns, but they happened to be right.  Every time I tried to stab someone had a slow played monster.  An awful experience really.

I didn't think I played so poorly at the time, but looking at the session later, I realize I was making minor mistakes here and there.  These mistakes compounded and ended up being very costly in the end, and perhaps more importantly they unnecessarily increased the variance.  I learned some other things from the session too, so all in all it's still an experience I'll gain something from.  But it was certainly unpleasant.

Gerhardt Goll 11 years, 8 months ago
Welcome to my world jonna.  Though I do as well catch the small mistakes, which add up if frequent, nothing can take away from the moment when you get it all in with top set against top two on dry board and he runner runners straight.  Or slow playing monster on flop, to check shove turn on flush board with nuts only to get called by some guy from Greece with bottom 2 pair, who, defying the odds once again, boats up on the rive, and INSTANTLY leaves the table.  Yes, I have gained much from these sessions as well.


Chael Sonnen 11 years, 8 months ago

I've lost 20 stacks in a day, going 1-12 in flips (yes, I counted) and like 1-7 in 80/20s where I was in front, and getting cold decks (AA vs AK). Even running it twice didn't help.
And then I tilted off the rest of my bankroll.


Gerhardt Goll 11 years, 8 months ago

After consistently winning, with few sick, quick downswing sessions, I had a mind depleting downswing, which I managed to undo with in 5 days, then I lost all my winnings within 7k hands (one day) which was 37 BIs.  This is PLO btw.  My all in ev through that term was 800+.  Fuck all in ev.  It just lies to you.  Until it fixes the issues it has with much more accurate hand tracking, I spit on it. Everytime my all in ev was super hi, I was down super low.  And I dont see a need to stop/loss when you're playing well, unless it mentally affects you to the point where you cant quit playing until you get to break even.


R0b5ter 11 years, 8 months ago

Gerhardt what do you mean "issues with more accurate tracking system"? I agree that PT4 or HM aren't perfect at determining your true luck factor öike set ups etc but it's still a better indicator than juat looking at the bottom line. 

Well I'm back at the tables tonight. Wish me luck..

Gerhardt Goll 11 years, 8 months ago

''It doesn’t work. The stat is perfectly accurate for heads-up players.
However, unless you only play heads-up poker, a player’s expected win
(the All-In EV stat) and actual amount won lines essentially can’t ever
actually be expected to converge, regardless of the software you are
using.  There are two primary reasons why the stat doesn’t work for
anything but heads-up play. One is problems accounting for All-In EV in
multi-way pots, and the other is trying to account for “EV”
(results-oriented win) on online poker sites where the opponent’s
holecards are only revealed at showdown if Hero loses, but not if Hero
wins.''

''A Stat with No Meaning
The bottom line is that unless you are a heads-up only player, “EV”
stats are going to be of limited value, and they truly are stats with no
real meaning. In order for it to work 100 percent of the time and cover
all situations, the software would have to be able to create hand
ranges for your opponents in these situations, which is another problem
entirely. And so, unless the stat-tracking software only makes “EV” or
“luck” adjustments in heads-up only situations, any All-In EV stat of
any name in any form is going to be biased in one direction or the
other.''

https://www.pokertracker.com/blog/2011/10/the-problem-with-all-in-ev-all-in-equity

Chek out the article and gl at the felts tonight. 


R0b5ter 11 years, 8 months ago

Thanks for the support. :) 


Made about 1k and didn't run bad so your support helped. Gerhardt, very interesting. I'm to tired to really get into what you wrote there and the link but will check it out tomorrow. But still, my intuition says that if I'm all in pre with AA vs KK and he spikes a K my all in EV will better resemble my "true" winrate than my actual winrate. I was aware that PT4 seemed to being screwing the EV up in multi way pots but not that often you are all in multi way in NLH.

R0b5ter 11 years, 8 months ago

Hehe lot of debate on EV.


 Whysoeasy, I hear your points and of course you are right. Look it's not like I'm following my EV like some kind of stat junky and instantly shut down my session if my EV hits a certain spot. But I still stand up to my remark that EV is a better indicator than bottom line. By keeping a loose eye on my EV I think I get a reasonably fair indicator on how I'm playing. Of course if I keep getting it in in reasonable spots but being up against villains top range I'm going to be aware of that and not be to hard on myself. But if that's not really the case and my EV is down by a lot it could be that I'm just losing money in spots where I shouldn't be or that I'm not playing my A game. 

R0b5ter 11 years, 8 months ago

Gerhardt read that article now. Interesting but really nothing new. Sites that don't reveal hole cards is at least for me non existent. And as it states in the article what is really calculated is your equity and not your expected value. But as it also says in the article it is somewhat likely that these will converge over a larger sample of hands. Lastly it does state that multiway pots in which someone is all in on a street prior to when the other players are all in will give a large error. But once again spots like those are fairly uncommon in NLH. Or at least so uncommon that I don't think it will significantly alter the results. However what whysoeasy brings up is very true and that's that allin EV doesn't account for standard spots where you feel you get the money in good. Or in other words doesn't account for villains range and that you are constantly facing the top of villains range or the bottom for that matter. But that is also something that should reasonably converge over time. All in all I understand the draw backs of looking at this stat but I also understand the benefits and I still like it :)

looooooongboards73 11 years, 6 months ago

so just to make sure I have not missed something here..... I read the Hwang article .... if you get Allin 3 way on Poker Stars ... all players cards are not know by Poker Tacker 4 ...   or is it only when you are all in and there is subsequent betting after you are all in (possibly on the next street) and one of the players fold

This would explain the epidemic of players running bankrolls below EV

If anyone can clarify please do

 

Thanks

 

 

Be the first to add a comment

Runitonce.com uses cookies to give you the best experience. Learn more about our Cookie Policy