You should probably get away from looking at small sample results, the mean pretty much nothing and give you no help. Looking at hands and how they play or are to be played within your distribution or vs the field, in these games, as this is pretty low stakes, you probably want to look at exploiting oppontns rather than being super balanced, but refrain from checking short term results whenever you can, you can check hands and stats, how you played, but results don't do much for you.
That being said, using certain bankroll management strategies, like for example, kelly bankroll, you need to stay aware of your bankroll, but other than that, to get good I would not look at results, but rahter at strategy

Thanks for the tips!

Overbet shove definitely not a good idea here imo
Obv you're never shoving with KJdd or A8dd here
You lost value against weaker hands and you'll get only called by better hands.

Just continue betting here

And I don't specially defend my big blind with K3s against a somewhat reg

Definetly I ain't shoving KJ, this shove is only with a few vulnarable+strong hands, as well few set witch doesn't block his calling range and balance those with combo draws and hands like A3dd. I get called by AK btw

I strongly agree that 4x pot is never a bet that makes sense here. I guess I wouldn't call you with AK here also it might be a good share of the players in the pool might. Your result in general is you fold out worse hands (and draws) you could get value of with "normal" bets and you also will make him fold all draws. Note that folding out his draws with your current hand is not best case. You gain more money by having him call a pot sized bet with 30%-ish equity and maybe even bluff the river if missed than when he just folds his 30% equity of a 3.33$ pot (0.3*$3.33 = $1.11) It might be that on the T which brings some draws but doesn't change the strongest hand an overbet might make sense to charge his kings as long as the board is not too wet and also his stronger draws. So 115% or 150% could work but never 400%.

You might have fallen into the trap of protecting yourself against loosing the hand instead of maximizing EV. Yeah with shoving turn the percentage you will loose the hand in the end goes down. But you still earn less money than when you charge a bigger pot 70% of the time and loose some of the time because he improves (I can see that this sucks but it's part of the game).

I'm okey with the K3s float against BTN 2.5x though also it's near the bottom of my range.

yeah, I agree that it's a bit too deep to shove. It's 3x overbet shove btw, but still too deep I agree with this one. Probably somewhat 1.2x overbet would be better in the spot. Pio never raises K3s on a flop in a first place, but I expect villain to be far away from cbet strat that pio use, so maybe that's all right.

This is quite tough I guess. Interested to see what others think.

You have good blockers to his turned queens (KQ, QJ) but no flush or straight blockers. I would believe he stabs more often with a random flushdraw here than with AQ, KQ, QT. In his BTN open-call range there should also be many suited hands.

So probably it's more important that you don't block a flushdraw than that you do block some queens. Most important thing is probably his big sizing on flop and turn. I thing I like your fold :)

Vs two smaller bets it probably transitions to a call (say 50% stab and 50% turn bet).

My feeling says this rather should be a c-bet here for you because we need protection and rather check AA-QQ some of the time for trapping instead because we don't need as much protection and it's not as bad when he checks back. You said he is aggressive but he's also a reg. So he shouldn't be overstabbing insanely I guess? If you know he's stabbing 80% then check-raising instead of betting might become attractive.

Looking forward to see how your challenge continues - keep us posted.

I runned a pio on this one as well, pio almost never checking overpairs here, it leaves checking ranges quite capped surprisingly. But when I change villain stabing strategy to more realistic one that I think he is using, pio checking overpairs on flop quite a alot and check/raising them with high frequency. So if my guess about his stabing strategy is somewhat correct, probably my play is fine

cool. did you check if check-shoving or check-raising to non all-in is higher EV? I would be pretty interested in that one.

yeah I definitely wouldn't have expected PIO to not checking overpairs at all. Well the board is pretty damn wet and in 3bet pots we have a higher cbet generally than in normal pots. So it makes some sense.

Didn't see the ev's, but all of em was mixing shoving and smaller raise

Ty!

You can probably fold preflop. Rake is high and squeezing frequencies are low.

Yeah, that's an option, but I have a weakness folding suited hands preflop :D

You can imagine that with this stack to pot ratio it's not enough to make straights and flushes something like 5% of the time (not to mention the problem of getting to the river with all the draws), so you need to be able to do something with your pairs as well as have some bluffing opportunities. You have some of that, but the tighter the squeezing range is, the more difficult it is for us to do anything about it. Villain's just gonna have a good hand too often, and that's not good for equilty realization of a hand like T9s.

Yeah, I totally agree on that, I should tighten up on calling squeezes, as well he was a fish with like 70/30/5 or so, so that was his bottom range I guess

Typically the situation we want to avoid at these stakes.

You're not calling a preflop 3b with 9Ts to go broke with a bad kicked bad top pair.
We're looking to get big draws etc...

Just simply fold preflop

Flop call seems completely fine by me and I like the turn bluff aswell. You have virtually no showdown value with your pair of fives and it's hard for you to have anything worse to bluff with. You should get some folds from stuff like AT/T9 or just air that could bluff you off on the river.

Yeah, that's exatcly what I was thinking during the hand

Runned a pio sim on this one, pio turn this combo into bluff as well almost everytime

Isn't bet flop just... you know... bet flop?

Not sure, but I think not, I believe it means stab, but not sure

I think this stat consist of donk bets + stabs maybe?

It feels like it's hard to be balanced in the spot. If I'm betting all my value combos on turn my range on the river becomes super capped, question is what value hands I should be checking on turn? Probably standart I would check my weekest J's, but I guess that's not enouth. And what bluffs do I pick on the river after checking turn?

Exploitative wise, against unbalanced villains, it feels that only blockers that matters in the spot for bluffing are low cards, probably we dont want to block pocket pairs witch he might fold?

Runned a sim on this, all I understood that it's super complex board to play

it would be so smooth :(