Can someone please help me understand Net Expected Won convergence?
Posted by thk3421
Posted by thk3421 posted in Gen. Poker
Can someone please help me understand Net Expected Won convergence?
My question is whether the Net Expected Won value should converge to the Dollars Won value after a sufficiently large enough sample? According to PT website the answer is that in the long run the two will converge.
http://www.pokertracker.com/guides/PT4/tutorials/all-in-equity-graphs
The longer I play though, the more the two seem to diverge. Is this just short term variance? Is this something that other players see in their charts? Perhaps the Net Expected Won doesn't account for rake? My last 8k hands are shown below for 6max 25NL cash games, with no other games or tournaments and always 100BB buy-in. (queue the violins for sad feelings when viewing this chart :) )
As long as I have your attention: Based on these results I figured I was just sucking at poker while learning, but is there hope that I am just running bad? The Net Expected Won is positive, but I have my doubts that the green line will converge upwards...
.
Loading 3 Comments...
Be the first to add a comment
You must upgrade your account to leave a comment.
This thread has been locked. No further comments can be added.