rosaaa

So I decided to play micros again and this time I decided to play more aggresive and bluff more. Before I played more of an abc poker. Before I had a terrible redline and now it's the same thing despite being way more aggresive. Now the thing is that in my mind it seems like I'm playing well (I have 1bb winrate over a 50k hands), it's not a big sample, I know. The thing is that my redline is going straight down, literally. I have sessions that I win a lot of hands without showdown and I'm like 'the redline should be good after this session', then I look at the graph and redline looks like shit again.

A lot of times when I try to bluff I run into top range or some ridiculous hand out of nowhere and I can't do anything BUT WHEN I have actually a hand, they find folds, even when I unblock the board when I have a bottom set for example. I'm tilted af because of this because I'm trying to play more aggresive and it's like people can see through my cards. People be calling me down with absolute garabage when I'm bluffing but when I'm value betting, they somehow fold. I can post my stats if someone would like to see.

I will post 4 hands that I played today in a session. In my mind I played those hands well:

Hand 1:

Here I decided to 3-bet with A5o and villain calls. (I don't always 3 bet those kind of hands). Villain checks and I c-bet small on this flop mostly because of me having an Ac, villain calls. On the turn villain checks and I decided to double barrel on a 2c. It doesn't change much for villain but it helps me a lot because now I can rep a flush but of course villain shoves and I have to fold.

Hand 2:

I 3 bet from SB vs UTG RFI and villain calls. I c-bet 1/3, villain calls.Turn comes 2h and it's an easy double barrel with AK, especialy with As plus we block a lot of his strong Qx but no, villain decided 3bet me on the turn and I have to fold.

Hand 3:

Here I 3-bet from BB vs UTG RFI, villain calls. I decided to c-bet with 60% and villain shoves and again, I have to fold.

Hand 4:

Villain opens from SB, I 3 bet with AJss, villain calls. Villain checks and I decided to c-bet small and get called. On the turn villain checks and I decided to double barrel for around 75. Villain shoves and we have to fold. Now, I don't know about this hand because I didn't study a lot of BvB 3b spots so I'm not sure about this hand.

Any advice or review would be appreciated.

So for past 3 weeks it's just crazy how much variance I am experiencing. It's like I win 5 buy ins in a sessions, everything is going well and all of a sudden boom, I'm down 2 buy ins in the same session. It's like that in almost every session. I start with 3 buy ins down, then I'm 3 up and again I'm down 3 buy ins etc. A lot of flips, a lot of coolers with KK vs AA, bad runouts (I'm on a good side of variance here too obviously). I just don't see how some people can have a big winrate in 20k hands for example. It just seems like you have to run really hot to have a big wr in that amount of hands.

So in theory we call a 4 bet jam from SB with 99, 88, 66 etc. Should we do it in micros or should I let it go? I actually don't know. Or if a villain has one combo of AK in his jamming range, is it automatically a call?

So let's say there is a villain and he's overbluffing. Let's say I'm in a 3 bet pot with him and villain x raises with with a hand he shouldn't even have, he's overbluffing in a lot of spots. Let's say I have a hand that in theory folds to a x raise. Does it mean that I print money long term by folding in spots like these? Logic tells me yes but I want to hear more from more experienced players.

Now let's talk about overfolding. Let's say there's a hero who plays good theoritical poker and doesn't adjust in a pool that players slightly under bluff. Then, there's a hero who overfolds in this pool. Like I said, they SLIGHTLY UNDERBLUFF. So who prints more money here? A hero who overfolds or hero who doesn't adjust at all?

So there's a lot of flat calling the button against any position with pocket pairs, off suit broadways and some suited and non-suited connectors, basically a lot of hands. A lot of times I face a bet and it's a 1/2 or 3/4 bet when I check, no matter the board.
Few examples:
A72 rainbow and I have KQo - I check, villain bets and I have to fold.
672 and I have AKo - I check and villain bets and I have to fold

It's really annoying to me because I see a lot of hands like this and I have to fold. The worst thing is that they bet with everything. Now my question is: Aren't they losing money by doing this if they bet with anything on any board? To sum it up, I know I have to fold in theory but it pisses me off to fold good hands. lol

How can we know our true winrate if we have sessions 5 buy in down, long break even stretches etc. I just don't see how it's possible unless we play something like 500k hands lol. Let's take 50k hands for example, we can run like shit or hot for 20k hands and lets' throw break even stretches in there. How is it possible to even assume what the winrate could be?

As the title says. It seems like you need to win big pots without showdown to have a good redline. Thin value betting is not gonna skyrocket your redline,, you need to win big pots. Am I thinking right? When I looked at my last session, my redline was quite goodl, then I won a big pot with a shodown and my redline started going downhill. How in the hell some people have a positive redline? Overbluffing?

it's always like this. I'm up 3 buy ins and out of nowhere I can't hit anything in 3 bet pots, runouts are terrible and literally can't do anything. It's like that everytime and everytime my session ends breakeven or slightly losing and it seems like it's never gonna end. I simply can't catch a sunrun which is sad. Just a little rant. :D

Today I played 2k hands and I won a lot without showdown in 3b pots, some double barrels but still my redline was going down. It seems like you need to bluff every hand to have a good redline. Or is it because of blinds?

So I play nl10 and I don't know how to react against a small 3b sizing OOP and me holding a hand not good enough to call.
Hand 1:
Hero opens 2.5bb A5o on button,
BB 3 bets 7bb

Hand 2:
Hero opens 2.5bb KQo on CO
SB 3 bets to 8bb

I just have no idea how to play this. If ggpoker would allow custom huds, I could see their fold to 4bet and then it would be quite easy to play against. I imagine that in a second hand, I should call against that sizing but what about first hand?

On the other side, their 3bet sizing IP is big, something like 8bb, 9bb against 2.5bb open sizing. Is it even profitable to call against 9bb when you're OOP? Let's talk about BTN vs CO. AKs, AKo, KK, AA, AQo, QQ, JJ, TT - 4 bets. What about hands that are good to call with? Like KQs, AJs, 99 etc?

Like the title says, it just isn't worth it to be theory correct at those stakes. Stacking off with AK, JJ, QQ btn vs sb? I'm done with that. It's just -ev to stack of with those hands in the long run. You're gonna face AA, KK, sometimes AK and very rare QQ. So when you stack off with AK, you're lighting money on fire. Theory poker says to stack off but theory poker doesn't know that people 4 bet ranges are so tight at micros that it's -ev. If you want to stay forever at micros, enjoy playing gto. The best way to play is to exploit by deviating from theory poker. Then you can start playing theory correct at higher stakes.