bucski
11 points
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Sept. 5, 2018 | 12:34 p.m.
Oh and he did have KK BTW
June 4, 2015 | 7:47 p.m.
Yeah, agreed with all that now, cheers
June 4, 2015 | 7:40 p.m.
yeah, good point that cold 4bet is diff from 4bet. His sizing was tricky I agree, which is what prompted me to call here on flop, can't really fold TPTK to a 1/4 pot bet and then got kind of sucked in with river bet. Both times I was getting 4:1. Was hoping he was thin betting with AK and we would split really. Thanks
June 3, 2015 | 7:38 p.m.
villain's 4bet was 4.1% over 2k hands. so are you folding at any point here?
June 3, 2015 | 6:54 p.m.
Oh and I could def have tens here, but agreed my value hands are pretty few and far between.
May 31, 2015 | 8:38 p.m.
He might well check down his missed overs, or he might decide to bluff turn to take pot down, which is what I reckoned he was doing and couldn't see much value in his range at that point.
But yeah totally agree preflop.
May 31, 2015 | 8:36 p.m.
Yeah I agree that I don't rep a lot here and that was a mistake in that respect, but he doesn't rep much either so he can't really call therefore? No?
May 31, 2015 | 8:32 p.m.
Thanks guys, do you like the raise sizing OTT?
May 30, 2015 | 7:07 p.m.
Yeah good point on what we rep, not an awful lot. JJ I guess and we don't have many tens in our range given his tight 3bet range (other than TT), shouldn't really have JTs here, so yes we aren't repping a lot I guess
May 30, 2015 | 7:06 p.m.
No I wasn't planning on xf OTR, and yeah I do have 6 outs (or 4 if he has KQ) but they aren't totally clean, though quite good.
May 30, 2015 | 7:02 p.m.
Firstly I think I should have folded pre here, but I was running pretty hand dead to this point, so decided to play it.
Villain's 3bet from this position was around 4/5% and my notecaddy notes suggested he was depolarised. He also had a cbet in 3bet pots of 68%. So when he checks on this board I am discounting 1010+ and putting him on AQo,AKo,AJs+KQs. When I check the turn and he bets, I think it is just to take the pot down so I figure a raise might be good. He would prob continue with a FD here but given the range I put him on he has 4 combos for FDs and 30 for everything else. My bet sizing is quite small but he would prob continue with a FD to a 3x raise which is the only equity hand I am putting him on so I figure 2x should do the job fine and I am saving money there. Only prob is I don't really have much equity here if he does continue, which I don't like. What do you think?
May 30, 2015 | 3:14 p.m.
Fold pre, but some players will check/fold a lot on monotone boards, so you could get away with a bluff here, but think more equity would be good.
May 7, 2015 | 5:30 p.m.
I agree that generally this is a fold unless you have a note that he often raises FDs on the flop, in which case I would call and see what the turn brings.
May 7, 2015 | 5:26 p.m.
I agree with Fluxrazza, think you are beat by far most of the time on the river. Don't really think he barrels 3 like this with worse than AJ most of the time. But yes, would def call here with A4s etc...
Though obviously if you always took this line it is exploitable.
May 2, 2015 | 5:30 p.m.
Totally agree with that and such a weird raise size by villain particularly in that position, most strange.
April 27, 2015 | 8:56 p.m.
Does everyone like flatting with AK pre here? We are well ahead of 11% range he opens with. Not sure what his fold to 3bet is, if it was high I can see a flat being good but generally isn't a 3bet better?
April 27, 2015 | 5:07 p.m.
good point there, guess if heart hit turn hero now has nut flush draw, but yes villain could have hit a flush. Plus straight possibilities as well. Have to agree.
April 27, 2015 | 4:58 p.m.
3bet pre is obviously standard here but particularly good here as his RFI is 44% (presume that is BTN RFI) and his fold to 3bet is 20-30%, so he continues pretty wide here vs heroes 3bet.
I don't mind flop check (presume you were going for a delayed cbet) but when he bets flop, I like checking turn to get him to continue with any worse aces or draws.
However, river is very nasty, sets seem quite likely, maybe A8,A7, or sometimes 56s (if he calls 3bets very wide) He could be betting pot with busted FD to seem strong sometimes I guess.
In any case I think play is fine and fold river.
April 26, 2015 | 9:31 p.m.
I agree, don't like 3bet pre here, QJ will rarely make nutted hands and when villain calls your 3bet he will dominate you with his AQ, KQ type hands. I would just call pre.
April 25, 2015 | 6:27 p.m.
Thanks for the comments guys!
April 20, 2015 | 9:28 p.m.
totally agree, but felt I did have some equity with OCs and BDFD?
April 20, 2015 | 9:28 p.m.
Yeah, get what you are saying re floating. We might be drawing dead but isn't this outweighed by the fact that we get a lot of folds here plus if villain does call we aren't always drawing dead? i.e. in this case we weren't. So I am saying a lot of good things can happen for us when we raise flop here? Having said that, I do think flop is a bit dry to raise, would rather flop was a bit wetter.
April 20, 2015 | 9:27 p.m.
don't you think on the flop a xr is good given that we have two OCs and a BDFD? Plus we rep sets/boats here?
(do think flop is a bit dry for this move though as I explain in below comment)
April 20, 2015 | 9:23 p.m.
https://www.weaktight.com/h/54edef3ba52511bc4f9e2ea4
villain was 17/14 over 5k hands, had a note that he possibly thought I could be a bit bluffy (but that is speculation)
His RFI from his position is 17. Think call pre is fine, I have nuttish outs with K10s. I like raise on flop as I have BDFD and two OCs, turn is good for us, his bet doesn't quite give us correct pot odds, but not far off, plus think we have good implied odds here. River is great, though he could have a boat here, think a 1/2 pot bet is getting called by overpairs but obv he will jam with any boats he has, which could be 77 or maybe AA. He also has straight draws here (sometimes but given he was EP, he doesn't have too many in his range) which obv miss the river. Don't think he has hands like A7, A6 in his range too often. Think it's mostly overpairs and flush draws, sometimes 89s for a combo draw.
Think my play is good to the river, not too sure about my river bet due to paired flop.
How do you play it? cheers
April 19, 2015 | 11:39 a.m.
cheers!
April 12, 2015 | 10:30 a.m.
good point, thanks for the input!
April 11, 2015 | 8:23 p.m.
Yeah some great points there, totally see what you mean, I am a dog against his value range and have 50:50 equity against his bluffs. so overall I am a dog most of the time here. Think I should have just folded on the flop now. I guess I was looking too much at his bet sizing and not enough at ranges involved. Thanks for the analysis
April 11, 2015 | 7:58 p.m.
Most obvious thing to me is flop cbet is too low. Also would think VPIP is too high and too big compared to PFR, think something like 22/19, 21/18 would be better.
Yeah, thought my cbet sizing was bad. Makes sense 1/3 pot then like you say I can get away once others ship.
And sure see the prob re other reg in pot.
Thanks chaps
Oct. 13, 2015 | 4:24 p.m.