Gaffero

So entertaining

Great Vid Francesco! With the 77 what's the rough GTO mix to call off a jam otf, like 20%?

Hi Ben, any advice trying to estimate Standard Dev in live games? My friends and I have ranges from 160-1000 in NLHE, i guess it varies a lot due to open sizes,straddles, depth etc, in the UK its not uncommon to be £1k deep at 1/1. But assuming there are no straddles, playing relatively deep with 5-15x opens for instance?

Great vid, tough spot to play for the SB, can you do some similar videos looking at 3bp as the OOP 3 better and 4bp as the OOP caller? :)

That makes sense Thanks Ben!

How do you think the composition of the monotone board effects the strategy, so the A93 is a particularly static board but what about something like the 457sss or J87sss, would it be the same broader idea off trapping earlier on and pulling triggers on later streets?

Similarly how do tighter range effect the play?

Hi Ben- I notice that the OOP check raise strategy is very passive, but in practice I see a lot of players check raising strong pair + gutters, sets and 2p etc, am i right in thinking the exploit to this is to develop 3 betting strategies with vulnerable flushes as well as attacking their calls on the turn?

I agree with the 4 bet pre, the only hand that I think makes sense by the river is pocket 10s or A10, and you block out a lot of A10.

I think the donk bet may polarise your range and could encourage bluffs from air,

Also, I like the donk bet in so far as you can get value from medium strength pairs like 99 JJ etc, but I think in doing that you are polarising your range which can encourage bluffs so I would be inclined towards calling but not sure if my thought process is very good there haha

Hands like AJ KJ QJ, hands with a flush draw and loads of pair and straight draw type hands will all probably call, 9 10 can also call. These are all behind your hand at the moment, so we can look to get value from them

By 'play poker' I mean reevaluate if you get raised, I'd probably fold to a raise.

I like betting the board, because you can get called by worse, and you can play poker if you get raised. The other thing is most turns are bad for your hand, so ideally you want to take it down on the flop.

There are a lot of raises that will be drawing hands & semi bluffs, and you block out a lot of sets. You're only really crushed against made straights kq, 78 and j7 suited and even then you have some equity (16%).

I would make a meaty bet on the flop around 75-85%

Yeah I don't think 4 betting accomplishes much, seeing as the fish is a donk, you have a hand that flops very well, and a relatively straightforward looking reg, this should make decisions easy because the reg is likely to be straightforward versus the fish (knowing bluffing is a fish is not a great idea). Although you are in the SB I think this dynamic make decision making reasonably straightforward.

Played it well, maybe i go a touch bigger to size up a river shove thats a little easier to call, but it would only increase a little bit :) other than that, i take the same line

I'm finding that tayloring c bet size according to HUD stats is a really good strategy. Against better players my c bets are smaller and against the passive players i make them really big, generally in 3b pots i'll go for around 60% because i believe there is a big difference in fold equity between 40% v 60% which overcompensates for the price.

He called with 9s so you were never getting the fold in hindsight, but given the fairly passive way he played the hand, i actually like the shove becausehe has like no fives, and you're getting calls from 10x and lots of underpairs considering how he played pre and flop and turn, there is very little ax so i don't actually think its a scare card. Don't think he has overpairs as pre being oop

Yeah not the biggest fan on checking the flop, there are a tonne of draws you can get value from, i'd lean towards a big bet (75%-85%) because you're out of position and there are a load of bad turn cards

Also against stronger players, I would be making the sizes smaller and given the action would probably be finding a fold with Jacks.

That's a good point UTG is probably limping baby pairs, I don't think I said he can't have AQ AK, if I did that was a mistake because I think his range has a lot of that in it!

Also a good point that the button should know I'm calling given my raise size which strengthens his range, but the quality of players seems to be very poor in the tournament, so really wouldn't be surprised if he's shoving baby pairs.

The 3 bet size is big because far worse hands are going to continue (most pocket pairs) especially as the table was playing, also worth noting that pot is already big because of antes etc, and if I made it like 12-15k people are priced in with all sorts of Rubbish and given the passivity of the table, I'm ok with the raise size. I was also hoping to Isolate the UTG player with position and probable card edge.

Thanks for your input- appreciated!

Why is it irrelevant that he hasn't folded to a 3 bet? If the answer is because we don't have a sample size, fair enough, but if we do, I would suggest it makes his range much wider and thus we can c bet him of his air, which would comprise a lot of his range, if he has a paired hand, we still have decent equity anyway.

Betting also keeps our range uncapped (we could have any overpair) and so it might even give us the option to fire multiple barrels as a hand like a medium to weak pair will probably call 1 street and fold to a turn bet. This also allows us the full equity of our hand.

Remember he's unlikely to have QQ-AA because he didn't re raise pre.

I would say that raises doesn't take out bluffs, a lot of draws can and will raise here.

Also why are we trying to keep SPR low? Its much more difficult playing an overpair on a high SPR pot on such a wet board. If we look to get value in on the flop and keep the SPR shallow, it eases our decision making massively which means we're less likely to make mistakes.

We block certain flushes because its impossible to have like 56 of diamonds because 5 diamonds is already on the flop.

I think you literally only have a bluff catcher on the river, and I think AK also checks back some of the time because it has showdown value, from his stats it looks like he may know this.

I think a fold is correct, but its a difficult one. I think the mistake is preflop you should be folding or re raising

I think you should be raising the flop on such a wet board, worse is definitely going to continue, and there could be a lot of bad cards that can kill action on turns and rivers.

As played on the river, its hard to get value from hands we beat against a reg, but for a fish we can get looked up by Jacks/ QJ/Q10 if he's really bad A10, I think fish like to donk the river with any major value hand or raise any sets (boats) before we get there. So I like a shove.

Interesting, I'm playing at 2NL atm (win rate about 10/100 not including rb over 35k hands). My default would be to stack of because there are a fair amount of flushes we block as played, we block of most AJ, and the queen knocks some AQ, I think AK would probably be getting it in preflop.

So rough combos of bluff hands we beat

AxQx with a diamond = 2
22 = 3 combo
55 = 3 combos
QQ = 3 combos
AA = 9 combos
KK = 9 combos

total 29

hands that beat us:

There are 78 combos of diamond hands pre, given the pre flop action, I think its unlikely he's going to be continuing with hands like 3d4d, the board blocks 5d6d and 4d5d, so he would have to have 67 78 89 KQ AQ 910 of diamonds maybe K10 Q10, which there are only is about 8 combos in total.

8/27 = roughly 67% we're ahead. I think we should be looking to get it in here? But maybe that's a leak of mine.