ZOOM PLO50, Top2 - no backup - facing xr on K45tt by fish (20%)
Posted by R G
Posted by R G posted in Low Stakes
ZOOM PLO50, Top2 - no backup - facing xr on K45tt by fish (20%)
SB: $34.39
BB: $82.50
UTG: $51.13
HJ: $179.14
CO: $67.70 (Hero)
UTG folds, HJ folds, Hero raises to $1.25, BN folds, SB calls $1, BB folds
Stack: 66bb effective.
Villain: 68/30/12.7 , AF 2.0, Flopraise OOP 20%, turn bet after flopraise 40%
I basically have no idea how to proceed here.
Is our hand strong enough to stack off on the flop?
We have Top2, but in a situation where all his draws have a lot of equity against us, and his made hands dominate us. We have a single card blocker to the flush which takes away a few equity points against the drawing parts of his range.
Him betting the turn 40% after raising the flop, and his overall AF of 2.0 leads me to believe that his turn barrels might be very honest, and he might be too passive with his draws there and very unbalanced towards made hands. Is my assumption based on only these statistics plausible?
All feedback welcome!
Fold?
Stack off?
Call + evaluate turn, fold to all turn barrels regardless of the card, and bet for value on blanks if checked to?
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