Semi-bluffing with top set 3-way
Posted by John Doe
Posted by
John Doe
posted in
Low Stakes
Semi-bluffing with top set 3-way
Pre-flop: We flat IP with the NFD and kings. If the dangler was a T+ or suited I think a squeeze would be a good play.
Flop: Villain bets 9 into 12 and gets a call. Since he did not bet pot I think his holdings are: Two-pair+add-on, second nut straight, nut straight but not with a very weak/non-existent add-on, set, pair+good flushdraw.
Vs this range we have about 50% (QQAT,QQAK,QQJT,AQTT,AJQ9,AJQT,Jh9h87,JhTh98,AhQTh8)
Furthermore I think he may bet/fold some of his range, maybe a naked AJ89 and a hand such as TT88.
The one who calls will probably have a weaker range but which may include a naked AJ. Because of his lesser stack I think that scenario is pretty rare though.
Thoughts about potting the flop and repping AJ+add-on when we in reality have 50% equity vs his get-in range. Vs AJxx we have 44% equity. And what if Villain pots the flop?
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