River Spot - Value(?)Bet Or Shove and Pray?
Posted by David Nicholson
Posted by
David Nicholson
posted in
Mid Stakes
River Spot - Value(?)Bet Or Shove and Pray?
HJ: Tladimir11: $600
CO: drunkroger: $717
BN: StpdSxyFlnders: $597
SB: HERO: $802.50
BB: LeCordonnier: $3332.55
UTG: SammyHagar: $600
CO: drunkroger: $717
BN: StpdSxyFlnders: $597
SB: HERO: $802.50
BB: LeCordonnier: $3332.55
UTG: SammyHagar: $600
Preflop
($9.00)
(6 Players)
HERO was dealt
T
K
A
Q
Tladimir11 folds, drunkroger raises to $21, StpdSxyFlnders folds, HERO raises to $66, LeCordonnier folds, drunkroger calls $48
Tladimir11 folds, drunkroger raises to $21, StpdSxyFlnders folds, HERO raises to $66, LeCordonnier folds, drunkroger calls $48
Oppo in this hand is another good reg, with lots of history (15k+ hands) Over last few sessions I've found myself in 3bet pots triple barrelling a LOT agaisnt him (purely a result of hands and run-outs) I'm not sure how much he's even noticed that but I'm getting the feeling he's getting ready to call me lighter in these spots. He's defo less stubborn than a lot of regs in big pots.
Flop
($144.00)
3
5
A
(3 Players)
HERO bets $88,
drunkroger calls $88
I have a higher than average 3b vs steal from the blinds than most players in these games (Stylistically I tend to call less and 3b a bit more in mid stakes games) as a result of this I don't 100% C-Bet this texture as the 3bettor (he'll certainly know this) I would chk/call with this hand decently often as well. Ijust chose not to on this occasion
Turn
($320.00)
A
(3 Players)
HERO bets $100,
drunkroger calls $100
River
($520.00)
2
(3 Players)
$464 is the effective stack, his range is totally uncapped in this spot IMO, he wouldn't raise 24 OTF, or A5 OTT very often at all against me, in fact I think he'd call/call nearly everything - which means I do think he'll have some lighter hands and floats OTT - problem is though nearly everything he'd float/float with would prolly have made a straight by the river.
Clear Value bet?
Sort of cool Merge type bet where he might call AJ, and might fold a straight?
Chk/fold?
Any other comments on the hand welcomed :)
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