PLO20 faced 3 barrel in 3b pot ip
Posted by oboltys88
Posted by
oboltys88
posted in
Low Stakes
PLO20 faced 3 barrel in 3b pot ip
SB: $27.84
BB: $31.10
BN: $79.55 (Hero)
BB: $31.10
BN: $79.55 (Hero)
Preflop
($0.30)
(3 Players)
Hero was dealt
7
J
8
J
Hero raises to $0.40, SB calls $0.30, BB raises to $1.40, Hero calls $1.20, SB calls $1.20
Hero raises to $0.40, SB calls $0.30, BB raises to $1.40, Hero calls $1.20, SB calls $1.20
His 3bet from BB is 21%. 59/34 overall
Flop
($4.80)
A
J
4
(3 Players)
SB checks,
BB bets $3.36,
Hero calls $3.36,
SB folds
His flop cbet in 3b pots stat is 54% so i expect only cbet from:
(TP>, GD+2BFD, OE>)
which makes up for 56% of his range.
(TP>, GD+2BFD, OE>)
which makes up for 56% of his range.
Turn
($11.52)
6
(2 Players)
BB bets $8.06,
Hero calls $8.06
i expect a double barrel from:
T2P, 2PR_13, SET, OE>
which is 52% of his turn range. this again correlates with his turn cbet stat from hem (56% average).
T2P, 2PR_13, SET, OE>
which is 52% of his turn range. this again correlates with his turn cbet stat from hem (56% average).
River
($27.64)
9
(2 Players)
BB bets $18.08,
Hero calls $18.08
i expect a value bet from : T2P, SET (96.5%)
and a bluff from : MP<< (3.5%)
i need 28% equity for a breakeven call and i have 38% v range above.
ev = 0.38*($45.6)+0.62*(-$18) = $17.3 - $11.1 = $6.2 = 31 bb
if he only value bets a set then i have only 18.5% equity v range (value+bluffs):
ev = 0.185*($45.6)+0.815*(-$18) = $8.4 - $14.6 = -6.2 = -31 bb
kinda interesting how ev switches from +31bb to -31bb.
and a bluff from : MP<< (3.5%)
i need 28% equity for a breakeven call and i have 38% v range above.
ev = 0.38*($45.6)+0.62*(-$18) = $17.3 - $11.1 = $6.2 = 31 bb
if he only value bets a set then i have only 18.5% equity v range (value+bluffs):
ev = 0.185*($45.6)+0.815*(-$18) = $8.4 - $14.6 = -6.2 = -31 bb
kinda interesting how ev switches from +31bb to -31bb.
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