PLO 10 Flop commitment decision w nut wrap + 3rd FD
Posted by Joao Leao
Posted by
Joao Leao
posted in
Low Stakes
PLO 10 Flop commitment decision w nut wrap + 3rd FD
BN: $10.59
SB: $9.90 (Hero)
BB: $10.68
HJ: $8.80
CO: $14.80
SB: $9.90 (Hero)
BB: $10.68
HJ: $8.80
CO: $14.80
Preflop
($0.15)
(5 Players)
Hero was dealt
K
4
T
Q
HJ folds, CO raises to $0.35, BN calls $0.35, Hero calls $0.30, BB calls $0.25
HJ folds, CO raises to $0.35, BN calls $0.35, Hero calls $0.30, BB calls $0.25
Flop
($1.40)
J
A
9
(4 Players)
Hero bets $1.34,
BB calls $1.34,
CO raises to $6.70,
BN folds,
Hero raises to $9.55, and is all in,
BB folds,
CO calls $2.85
I had just sat, so no reads.
Maybe leading wasn't the best choice. But once I'm in this spot, do I commit?
If my calculations are correct I need around 37,5% equity.
My draw looks strong but I can be against better flush draws.
I ran some simulations and I was surprised to know that I fare much better against top set or 2pair (AJ**, A9**) than against top pair w the nut flush draw:
30.26% vs Ah*h** 69.74%
43.63% vs AA** 56.37%
52.83% vs AJ** 47.17%
Maybe leading wasn't the best choice. But once I'm in this spot, do I commit?
If my calculations are correct I need around 37,5% equity.
My draw looks strong but I can be against better flush draws.
I ran some simulations and I was surprised to know that I fare much better against top set or 2pair (AJ**, A9**) than against top pair w the nut flush draw:
30.26% vs Ah*h** 69.74%
43.63% vs AA** 56.37%
52.83% vs AJ** 47.17%
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