PLO 10 Badugi aces as 3b pot
Posted by Zuzupet
Posted by
Zuzupet
posted in
Low Stakes
PLO 10 Badugi aces as 3b pot
SB: $0 (Hero)
BB: $10
UTG: $20
LJ: $10.56
HJ: $2.34
CO: $12.73
BN: $10
BB: $10
UTG: $20
LJ: $10.56
HJ: $2.34
CO: $12.73
BN: $10
No reads other than Villian is Loose-passive fish playing 96/41/0 over 27 hands.
Complete stats: http://scr.hu/0raf/3w8vj
Complete stats: http://scr.hu/0raf/3w8vj
Preflop
($0.15)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
A
J
T
A
Hero folds, Hero raises to $0.35, Hero folds, Hero calls $0.35, Hero folds, Hero raises to $1.35, Hero calls $1.10, Hero calls $1.10
Hero folds, Hero raises to $0.35, Hero folds, Hero calls $0.35, Hero folds, Hero raises to $1.35, Hero calls $1.10, Hero calls $1.10
I think 3b here is the highest EV play with my semi coordinated aces. When Villian calls I put him on: $FI30 - $4b2.
Flop
($4.40)
5
7
K
(3 Players)
Hero bets $2.10,
Hero calls $2.10,
Hero folds
I think I have to cbet for +EV, mostly coming instantly from the folding equity. Because I think he will either call or fold here, and I think he's calling K+ and folding the rest of his hands Pokerjuice tells me that he then folds 41% of the time. So cbet here is +EV.
Turn
($8.60)
T
(2 Players)
My assumptions if I shove:
- Villian calls let's say with top two pair or better (KT+ In Pokerjuice). Which is 65% of the time.
- Villian folds the other hands which is 35% of the time.
EV(turn-shove) = ((-0.65*15.05)*(0.93)+(0.35*8.6)
EV(turn-shove) = (-9.1) + (3.01)
EV(turn-shove) = -6.09
- 7% equity vs. Villians calling range KT+
- Villian calls let's say with top two pair or better (KT+ In Pokerjuice). Which is 65% of the time.
- Villian folds the other hands which is 35% of the time.
EV(turn-shove) = ((-0.65*15.05)*(0.93)+(0.35*8.6)
EV(turn-shove) = (-9.1) + (3.01)
EV(turn-shove) = -6.09
- 7% equity vs. Villians calling range KT+
Thoughs and comments please?
Thx in advance
Zuzupet
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