BB is a regular, not particulary tricky. 4% 3bet overall, many high cards. SB is 50/4 fish with 12/16/13 aggFQ/street.

I expect BB to realise SB being the reason why I open for a pot.

I expect villain to cbet his entire range here, given he is a overcbetting 3bet pots OOP (extremely high frequency, although not a huge sample). Definitely too frequent for his 4% 3betting range which is mostly BBBB hands. With 4 nut outs, good blockers for many turns and much wider range on such dynamic board I think this is an easy flat.

Turn is most often much better for my range than the 3bettor. Not raising OTF I still have all straight combos (even if weaker) and some made hands. Given that I have KKJ9, I am blocking most hands that cbet flop and x/call OTT. Thus I am expecting a raise or a fold. Having more T8 in my range I decide that I wouldnt need much protection vs BBBB hands so betting more does not accomplish much. I decide to bet turn, and if called once with this sizing, continue larger on any 2345, 7 9 as a bluff, and T K for value. 8 and Q are debatable.

Alternative I got offered were checking back the turn and deciding what to bluff OTR.


What do you think?