hero call?

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

hero call?

http://wt.ag/TFJtm1


villain opens 24% pre in this spot. i have him marked as a weaker player prob bc last time i played him he was playing LP or did something silly which is why i 3b this (might do it anyway tho) but even tho his stats are kinda loose he may just be a new LAG-reg.

so hes a 49/19 3b 11% af =3,1 if that helps with the profiling.

he donks 25% in 3way pots but no read on what he donks with (ive seen him cc donk-fold on J32ss 2 which either means hes a fish, or he hopes i will play str8 forwardly vs that line in my experience)

the turn call is obv super close, should we fold or jam instead?

vs this range: ($fi25!AA):65,ahh:(jt,j9,t9),t9:hh         we have 44,5% ott and on a river 2d we actually have 36,5%. his AF goes up by each street so theres no question he will just jam it in otr if he misses...but he could obv be bluffing with the best hand.

plz feel free to improve my guesstimation of his donk-range (i realize many players would rather c-r the nfd usually and c-c wraps which means they will be very made hand -heavy on this river)


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