a 'must gamble'(?) with nut-FD, 4way
Posted by JimmyGlass
Posted by
JimmyGlass
posted in
Low Stakes
a 'must gamble'(?) with nut-FD, 4way
BN: $44.30
SB: $43.32
BB: $50
UTG: $33.65
HJ: $47.50
CO: $213.57 (Hero)
SB: $43.32
BB: $50
UTG: $33.65
HJ: $47.50
CO: $213.57 (Hero)
SB- 87\56 hyper aggro, 40 hand sample
BB tight reg w\ wtsd 33, 56% fold vs cbet
HJ 50\12, wtsd 33, 500 hand
BB tight reg w\ wtsd 33, 56% fold vs cbet
HJ 50\12, wtsd 33, 500 hand
Preflop
($0.75)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
7
9
A
Q
UTG calls $0.50, HJ calls $0.50, Hero calls $0.50, BN calls $0.50, SB raises to $3.50, BB calls $3, UTG folds, HJ calls $3, Hero calls $3, BN calls $3
UTG calls $0.50, HJ calls $0.50, Hero calls $0.50, BN calls $0.50, SB raises to $3.50, BB calls $3, UTG folds, HJ calls $3, Hero calls $3, BN calls $3
Flop
($18.25)
3
7
2
(5 Players)
SB bets $17.19,
BB raises to $46.50, and is all in,
HJ calls $44, and is all in
I expect SB to be really wide here- like QQ+ without diamonds, BB- 73+gutter and sets, KdK*d sometimes, and any OP+FD, sets and 73 for HJ
vs this kind of ranges we're ~27% OTF. if tighten in up a bit - sets only for BB and OP with diamonds for SB - we're 22%
the thing is at least one of them would have diamond quite often (no math under the assumption) and we're drawing to just 7outs.
still a must GII? if there was two tight ranges - it would be closer to fold?
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