5/10 PLO Flush vs. River shove on paired board.
Posted by Daniel Dvoress
Posted by
Daniel Dvoress
posted in
High Stakes
5/10 PLO Flush vs. River shove on paired board.
BB: $1179.31
UTG: $1447.70
HJ: $838 (Hero)
CO: $1000
BN: $1492.06
SB: $1485.58
UTG: $1447.70
HJ: $838 (Hero)
CO: $1000
BN: $1492.06
SB: $1485.58
Preflop
($15.00)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
8
A
T
Q
UTG folds, Hero raises to $30, CO folds, BN calls $30, SB calls $25, BB calls $20
UTG folds, Hero raises to $30, CO folds, BN calls $30, SB calls $25, BB calls $20
Flop
($120.00)
4
J
6
(4 Players)
SB checks,
BB checks,
Hero bets $75,
BN folds,
SB calls $75,
BB folds
Turn
($270.00)
4
J
6
A
(2 Players)
SB checks,
Hero bets $195,
SB calls $195
River
($660.00)
4
J
6
A
4
(2 Players)
SB bets $597.87
Villain seems to be a losing regular in these games, playing 37/25 over 200 hands or so.
I think pre/flop/turn are standard. On the river is where I am lost. I don't really see him doing this for value with a higher flush given that the board paired. I don't think he can have very many boats either - I think AAxx can be discounted because of preflop, and JJxx can be discounted as I would assume that c/r gets it in on the flop. Not sure if 66xx would play like this. So, that leaves 44, and possibly A4, which seems like a pretty narrow value range.
However, I'm finding it hard to come up with hands he can bluff with. I suppose some heart FDs that didn't c/r on the flop and picked up some showdown value on the turn can now bluff, especially with a Kc blocker. So stuff like AKQxhh, although I don't know if that is looking to get it in on the flop, and if those hands would c/shove on the turn.
Thoughts?
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