50PLO - Do you guys check-raise here?

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50PLO - Do you guys check-raise here?

BN: $43.68
SB: $47.81
BB: $58.81 (Hero)
UTG: $863.80
HJ: $57.98
CO: $188.02
Zoom table. Villain is running 35/15/0 over 83 hands, seems pretty fishy. I expect his opening range from UTG to be pretty strong but not crazy tight.
Preflop ($0.75) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt Q 5 9 T
UTG raises to $1.50, HJ folds, CO folds, BN folds, SB folds, Hero calls $1
pretty std defend for me.
Flop ($3.25) 5 Q 3 (2 Players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $2, Hero raises to $7, UTG calls $5
Do you guys like a check-raise here? Our hand has decent playbility with BDFD, Top2 outs and backdoor straights. I think his range will have a lot of AA/KK/AKQ type hands. Some numbers: on the flop, vs a 15% range we have 70% equity. He's going to have a set or better only 3% of the time, and 53% of the time he's going to have SD value (TP+).

Turn ($17.25) 5 Q 3 8 (2 Players)
If he calls our flop cr with (oesd/wrap, Q+), we have 64% EQ on the turn. He will have Q8+ 11% of the time, assuming he doesn't 3bet flop for value. Seems like a decent spot to bet/call.

What do you guys think?


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