50HU PLO Line Check + Theory Question

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50HU PLO Line Check + Theory Question

Villain is vpiping 71 from the sb, 4betting 0% and F3b 0% over 160 hands. Post flop he seems pretty straight forward for the most part. He definitely barrels on textures that are good for his range, but he also gives up a fair amount after 3betting. Earlier he 3bet and checked 644r, and ch/f 8 tu w/o even thinking. He also has a tendency to snap fold, making me think he's very unlikely to be bluffing with secondary levels of aggression. Up to this point in the match I had been running him over, up 3-4 buy ins. He recently won his losses back and we're about even.

After calling 3bets, he has been a little bit floaty, but pretty fit or fold for the most part.

I'm vpiping ~58% from the BB, which might be a bit too loose vs a 71% steal range. 3betting 18-20% or so. My c-bet in 3b pot has been about 81%(his Fcb his 50%) and I've been pretty balanced in both my barreling and checking ranges.

.25/.50 PLO Eff stacks 96.68

Villain 1.50, I 4.50 5s5c6c7d, Villain calls

Flop Kc4d3d(9.00)

Hero 6.00 Villain calls

Turn Ks(21.00)

Hero 13.00, Villain calls

River 9s(47.00)

Hero 34.00

So, I think there can be arguments made for playing every single street differently.

I feel like pre flop is probably a pretty marginal 3bet, though I think it's good for my range, and this guy isn't making my life too tough and gives up pretty easily so I opted to go for it.

Flop, I strongly considered check/calling because I hate to get raised and get put in a really awkward spot with this strong of a holding. Otoh, his flop raising freq on K43 2tone shouldn't be too high, so it's very likely I get a call at worse and get to realize my equity, keep my range uncapped, and maximize my turn FE.

Turn, I think a barrel here is OK. It's probably slightly bad for me that I hold 5567, meaning he has less straight draw combos and more K*** or diamond combos. However, 13-21 only needs to work 38% to be immediately profitable, which I think it should be, and since most of his K***'s aren't full and usually don't fill up on 2,5,6,7 rivers, it's still pretty likely my outs are good when called. Also the fact that I can fold out some of his FD combos clears up my outs.

River, I feel like is tough. On one hand, he's not really the type of guy to float this turn card too wide, but otoh, I do think he has a decent number of QQ,JJ,TT, or diamond+pp that peel turn, especially vs my turn sizing. Additionally, I think I'm pretty close to the bottom of my range, which from a theory standpoint makes this more of a bluff.

In terms of optimal sizing, I'm not really sure what I like best. 34 seemed to work well with stack sizes, plus only needs to get folds 42% of the time to be good. Otoh, he's getting 2.38-1 on a call(needs 30% to call), and assuming my value range is K***+, AA**+ or air, I'd think a pretty decent portion of my barreling range here is air.

It seems like to me the easiest way to look at this spot is to count his K***,99** combos that play this way, and then his QQ-TT's, diamonds+gutters,diamonds+oe, diamonds+pp, and see how much of the range I'm targeting folds from makes up of his entire tu calling range. The more I think about it the more I lean towards a larger bet size given how my range looks, and the types of hands I'm targeting. His QQ-TT seem pretty elastic to sizing.

Thoughts on all streets appreciated.

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