€50 plo, turn top set into a bluff?

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€50 plo, turn top set into a bluff?

BTN: €250.58

SB: €50.25

Hero (BB): €127.78

UTG: €116.40

CO: €50.75

SB posts SB €0.25, Hero posts BB €0.50


Pre Flop: (pot: €0.75) Hero has Qh 6c Js Qs

UTG raises to €1.75, fold, BTN calls €1.75, fold, Hero calls €1.25

The same villain as the previous hand; 18/13/4 over 400 ish hands.


Flop : (€5.50, 3 players) Jd 8h Qd

Hero checks, UTG checks, BTN bets €3.85, Hero calls €3.85, fold

I think raising would be fine too, but I block one of my outs and it would suck to get 3b with this hand.  Also, I can rep a wider range by x/c'ing here because that's what I'm often gonna do with sets, 2p, FD, bare straight, etc., whereas x/r'ing defines my range narrowly.

With all that in my mind, I decided to flat. 


Turn : (€13.20, 2 players) 6d

Hero checks, BTN checks

Although he can have some low flush that he's pot controlling with, he probably doesn't have a nut flush because he would want to build a pot with that.  Of course he can have lots of straights too.


River : (€13.20, 2 players) 5h

Hero checks, BTN bets €13.20, Hero ??

River bricked and he pots into us.  Given that his range is capped to non-nut parts, would this be a good x/r bluffing spot even though we block nothing?  Tbh this deep, I would expect him to have barreled on turn with naked Ad too.  And when I check twice on turn/river, my range should look quite capped to him as well.

In game I thought x/r > x/f > x/c, but is x/c ever an option?

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