200NL 6 Max Hand Reading: What's this guy got & why? Strange river jam
Posted by 24Caliber
Posted by 24Caliber posted in Mid Stakes
200NL 6 Max Hand Reading: What's this guy got & why? Strange river jam
BB: BB: $194.21
UTG: UTG: $269
HJ: MP: $388.69
CO: CO: $302.59
BN: Hero: $198
SB: SB: $726.70
UTG: UTG: $269
HJ: MP: $388.69
CO: CO: $302.59
BN: Hero: $198
SB: SB: $726.70
The SB is playing 26/19/7 with 3 bet from the SB 4.5%: total 1.7k hands
The BB is playing 83/21/17 and generally a loose passive style
The BB is playing 83/21/17 and generally a loose passive style
Preflop
($4.00)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
6
Q
7
A
UTG folds, MP folds, CO folds, Hero raises to $4, SB raises to $14, BB calls $12, Hero calls $10
UTG folds, MP folds, CO folds, Hero raises to $4, SB raises to $14, BB calls $12, Hero calls $10
Flop
($44.00)
3
T
5
(3 Players)
SB bets $30,
BB folds,
Hero calls $30
I'm not that excited about the 3rd nut flush draw and a gutshot to the nut straight (don't think either have much implied odds also) - however I'm in position, have good enough odds to call this exact bet (imo) and feel that he can have AA a lot of the time.
Turn
($104.00)
T
(2 Players)
SB checks,
Hero bets $24,
SB calls $24
The reasoning for my small bet behind on the turn here is because I wanted to set up the stack sizes so that I could jam a good % of rivers with the expectation of him to fold AA combo's in a lot of scenarios....I feel it also gives me control on the river, in that I rarely expect him to check-jam the turn unless he has a Ten or like AA with Ax of suit (both scenarios I'm in pretty bad shape so can fold pretty easily, he may still just call the latter). Based on the river card I could them determine what line (and/or bet size) I think is best.
River
($152.00)
K
(2 Players)
SB bets $150,
Hero folds
So here is my question for the hand: When he jams this river card, what holdings do people think he has and why? (i.e. how does your analysis align street by street)...and then call or fold?
Final Pot
SB
wins $147
All feedback appreciated :)
Thanks
Steve
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