20 PLO turn shove with TP2K in 3b pot
Posted by oboltys88
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oboltys88
posted in
Low Stakes
20 PLO turn shove with TP2K in 3b pot
HJ: $20 (Hero)
CO: $24.05
BN: $22.22
SB: $59.25
BB: $20.66
CO: $24.05
BN: $22.22
SB: $59.25
BB: $20.66
Preflop
($0.30)
(5 Players)
Hero was dealt
Q
K
T
T
CO calls $0.20, BN raises to $0.90, SB folds, Hero raises to $2.80, CO folds, BN calls $2.10
CO calls $0.20, BN raises to $0.90, SB folds, Hero raises to $2.80, CO folds, BN calls $2.10
villain:
50%-$4B7
50%-$4B7
Flop
($6.30)
2
Q
7
(3 Players)
Hero bets $3.15,
BN calls $3.15
let's assume he slowplays all strong hands
MP>, MPP>+BFD, OP 60%
MP>, MPP>+BFD, OP 60%
Turn
($12.60)
6
(3 Players)
Hero bets $12.60,
BN raises to $16.07,
Hero calls $1.25
case 1. tight stackoff range:
2PR>, TP1K+(FD, OE>), OE>+FD, PR+WR 41% eq. 82
fold range:
*-(2PR>, TP1K+(FD, OE>), OE>+FD, PR+WR) 59% eq. 40
ev = 0.41*0.82*-13.85 + 0.41*0.18*(26.45) + 0.59*12.6 = -4.6 + 2 + 7.4 = $4.8 = 24bb
Conclusion 1: When he has tight stackoff range despite our poor eq. when all-in we have a +ev shove because of
dead money.
case 2. loose stackoff range
* 100% eq.58
ev = 0.58*-13.85+0.42*26.45 = -8 + 11 = $3 = 15bb
Conclusion 2: When he has loose stackoff range our ev decreases but still shove nets us 15bb as opposed to c/f.
2PR>, TP1K+(FD, OE>), OE>+FD, PR+WR 41% eq. 82
fold range:
*-(2PR>, TP1K+(FD, OE>), OE>+FD, PR+WR) 59% eq. 40
ev = 0.41*0.82*-13.85 + 0.41*0.18*(26.45) + 0.59*12.6 = -4.6 + 2 + 7.4 = $4.8 = 24bb
Conclusion 1: When he has tight stackoff range despite our poor eq. when all-in we have a +ev shove because of
dead money.
case 2. loose stackoff range
* 100% eq.58
ev = 0.58*-13.85+0.42*26.45 = -8 + 11 = $3 = 15bb
Conclusion 2: When he has loose stackoff range our ev decreases but still shove nets us 15bb as opposed to c/f.
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