100plo Straight in 3 bet pot, 200bb deep, how to play river?
Posted by jimmyhat1000
Posted by jimmyhat1000 posted in Low Stakes
100plo Straight in 3 bet pot, 200bb deep, how to play river?
BN: $239.75
SB: $421.09 (Hero)
BB: $472.55
UTG: $102.10
HJ: $201.67
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO raises to $4.70, BN folds, Hero raises to $16.30, BB folds, CO calls $11.60
Villian is 48/35/8 over 300 hands. Street by street aggression is 1.2/4/1.3. This hand reminds me of a similar hand, http://www.runitonce.com/plo/100plo-nuts-in-3-bet-pot-how-to-get-va/ , from a while back.
I think preflop is close, although given how loose villian is I don't mind it, flop pretty standard.
The turn check is standard I think given how bad this board is for our range and how good it is for his. There's a debate to be had about sizing but I think I'm rarely semi bluffing here and given villian checked the flop I don't expect him to have much other than one card straight or two pair here. I'd expect him to bet his flush draws most of the time.
River is interesting. Is his range one card straight heavy enough that we can jam for value?The only set I see him showing up with is 88, and that might have bet the flop given it has at worst two blockers to the nuts. 77, 66, 44 I'd expect to bet the flop as well for value / protection. As for a hand that is like T975 or any of the one card straight hands I'd expect them to bet the flop as well a lot of the time. But of all the hands that would check back and then bet / call this turn that is the one I think is most likely.
Does anyone not jam this river for value?
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