x/raising the turn as a bluff vs TP+ range

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

x/raising the turn as a bluff vs TP+ range

Blinds: $0.08/$0.16 (9 Players) UTG: $16.00
MP: $58.98
UTG+1: $6.02
MP+1: $11.31
MP+2: $16.82
CO: $14.42
BN: $11.73
SB: $16.00
BB: $20.25 (Hero)
16/12
cb 67/48/57
WTSD 27
WSD 52
Preflop ($0.24) Hero is BB with K Q
UTG raises to $0.48, 5 folds, BN calls $0.48, SB folds, Hero calls $0.32
Dont wanna squeeze and isolate myself vs AK,AQ type of hands. Really squeezing here probably JJ+ and AK
Flop ($1.52) A 5 8
Hero checks, UTG bets $0.96, BN folds, Hero calls $0.96
calling/raising are both fine.
Based on his lower cbet OTT, calling might be slightly better.
Turn ($3.44) A 5 8 7
Hero checks, UTG bets $2.49, Hero raises to $7.20
Now I think he is barely bluffing.. even based on his RFI.. he is supposed to have here like AJs+.AQ+ and thats it. (sometimes KQs as a bluff). I do believe that I am lacking bluffs (87s,55,77,88,A8s,A7s,A5s as a value). He also looks like a capable reg, so expect folds from Ax hands.. Blockers are not the best.. and picking up a hand like 98s is probably better
And his only value better than TP are 88 (sometimes folded pre imo given his pfr) and AA.. thats few combos!
Didnt want to size it up, bc it would isolate ourselves vs a shove.

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