TwoPair in a 3bet Pot, playing his hand vs range (nl 50)

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TwoPair in a 3bet Pot, playing his hand vs range (nl 50)

SB: Jon Doe: 0
BB: Player1 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 19, 3B: 10, AF: 3,9, Hands: 3965: 78.30
UTG: Player3 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 18, 3B: 8, AF: 3,8, Hands: 8831: 50
LJ: Player5 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 18, 3B: 9, AF: 3,4, Hands: 5153: 50
HJ: Player6 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 18, 3B: 8, AF: 3,0, Hands: 1590: 50.50
CO: Hero - VPIP: 25, PFR: 20, 3B: 7, AF: 2,1, Hands: 297299: 50
BN: Player10 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 19, 3B: 10, AF: 3,9, Hands: 3965: 123.89
Villain is 3betting from the BB and I am in the BU
Preflop (0.75) (6 Players)
Jon Doe was dealt Q K
Jon Doe folds, Jon Doe folds, Jon Doe raises to 1, Jon Doe folds, Jon Doe raises to 3.50, Jon Doe calls 3
Flop (8.25) Q 8 K (3 Players)
Jon Doe bets 4, Jon Doe calls 4
Turn (16.25) 9 (3 Players)
Jon Doe bets 12, Jon Doe calls 12
River (40.25) 5 (3 Players)
Jon Doe bets 30, Jon Doe calls 30

Villain:

His 3bet stats:

- 3bet BB 13,4%

- BB vs stael 16%

- vs BU 14,4%

F2 4bet:

-in BB 66%(6)

-OOP 77,8% (9)


Overall he is coldcalling very tight in the BB (10%) and defends as you see just 74% vs steals. After I checkt out my database in HM I guess that he is 3betting a pretty linear range in this spot. This are the hands he 3bet in the BB so far:

AA,QQ,TT-99,AQs,QTs,76s,AQo,ATo

Given that I would say that this 3bet Range seems to be realistic:

77+,A8s+,K9s+,QTs+,JTs,T9s,98s,87s,76s,ATo+,KJo+ (14,18%)


So far he has not call any 4bets!!! (4k hands) and 3bet/push from the BB w 99+ and AQ+

Giving that and his hight F2 4bet stat I think that he has some pretty big leaks in playing is Ranges preflop.

1. He is folding the BB way to much if the BU/SB is oR

2. If he 3bets a linear range he should have a callingrange to 4bets

3. If I does not do this he is folding way to much to 4bets


So what is our plan:


We should:

- 4bet/call his push w JJ+/AK

- 4bet/fold a ton of blockers like Ax,Kx,KJo,KTo since playablity does not matter as long as he is not calling

- Call a strong Range (TT-88,AQs-A9s,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,AQo-ATo,KQo)


What do you think about my preflop gameplan? What would you change?


Postflop:

- cbet 3bet Pot 67%(57)/77%(13)/50%(4)

- F vs rasie 3bet Pot 13%(8)

- F vs check/rasie 0%(4)


What is your flop plan vs this guy?

I think that we have 2 options:

1. Playing our hand:

Exploit that he has hit the board pretty good and is not able to fold a lot and rasie/get it in. We are just rasie/pushing w 88/KQ and do not bluff at all

2.Playing our range:

We really do not want to bluffraise here and therefore do not rasie at all. We construct a callingrange witch includes KQ.


As played I would be interested if you jam the turn?

If Villain is not bluffing the river with his busted draws a jam would be obv. much better, giving him this bettingrange on the Turn:

I think he is not capable of folding his FD witch makes a jam pretty good I guess...

As played I have an easy call if he pushes w TPTK+, think thats pretty reasonable.


Ok let me know what you think about the hand :)

Cheers, Jonas


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