TwoPair in a 3bet Pot, playing his hand vs range (nl 50)
Posted by jonzocker
Posted by jonzocker posted in Low Stakes
TwoPair in a 3bet Pot, playing his hand vs range (nl 50)
BB: Player1 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 19, 3B: 10, AF: 3,9, Hands: 3965: 78.30
UTG: Player3 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 18, 3B: 8, AF: 3,8, Hands: 8831: 50
LJ: Player5 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 18, 3B: 9, AF: 3,4, Hands: 5153: 50
HJ: Player6 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 18, 3B: 8, AF: 3,0, Hands: 1590: 50.50
CO: Hero - VPIP: 25, PFR: 20, 3B: 7, AF: 2,1, Hands: 297299: 50
BN: Player10 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 19, 3B: 10, AF: 3,9, Hands: 3965: 123.89
Jon Doe folds, Jon Doe folds, Jon Doe raises to 1, Jon Doe folds, Jon Doe raises to 3.50, Jon Doe calls 3
Villain:
His 3bet stats:- 3bet BB 13,4%
- BB vs stael 16%
- vs BU 14,4%
F2 4bet:
-in BB 66%(6)
-OOP 77,8% (9)
Overall he is coldcalling very tight in the BB (10%) and defends as you see just 74% vs steals. After I checkt out my database in HM I guess that he is 3betting a pretty linear range in this spot. This are the hands he 3bet in the BB so far:
AA,QQ,TT-99,AQs,QTs,76s,AQo,ATo
Given that I would say that this 3bet Range seems to be realistic:
77+,A8s+,K9s+,QTs+,JTs,T9s,98s,87s,76s,ATo+,KJo+ (14,18%)
So far he has not call any 4bets!!! (4k hands) and 3bet/push from the BB w 99+ and AQ+
Giving that and his hight F2 4bet stat I think that he has some pretty big leaks in playing is Ranges preflop.
1. He is folding the BB way to much if the BU/SB is oR
2. If he 3bets a linear range he should have a callingrange to 4bets
3. If I does not do this he is folding way to much to 4bets
So what is our plan:
We should:
- 4bet/call his push w JJ+/AK
- 4bet/fold a ton of blockers like Ax,Kx,KJo,KTo since playablity does not matter as long as he is not calling
- Call a strong Range (TT-88,AQs-A9s,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,AQo-ATo,KQo)
What do you think about my preflop gameplan? What would you change?
Postflop:
- cbet 3bet Pot 67%(57)/77%(13)/50%(4)
- F vs rasie 3bet Pot 13%(8)
- F vs check/rasie 0%(4)
What is your flop plan vs this guy?
I think that we have 2 options:
1. Playing our hand:
Exploit that he has hit the board pretty good and is not able to fold a lot and rasie/get it in. We are just rasie/pushing w 88/KQ and do not bluff at all
2.Playing our range:
We really do not want to bluffraise here and therefore do not rasie at all. We construct a callingrange witch includes KQ.
As played I would be interested if you jam the turn?
If Villain is not bluffing the river with his busted draws a jam would be obv. much better, giving him this bettingrange on the Turn:
As played I have an easy call if he pushes w TPTK+, think thats pretty reasonable.
Ok let me know what you think about the hand :)
Cheers, Jonas
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